Palantir Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| PLTR Stock | USD 64.35 2.99 4.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3786 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4723 | Wall Street Target Price 37.195 |
Using Palantir Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Palantir Technologies from the perspective of Palantir Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Palantir Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Palantir Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Palantir. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Palantir can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Palantir Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Palantir Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Palantir Technologies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Palantir Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Palantir because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Palantir Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 59.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Palantir |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palantir Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Palantir Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Palantir Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Palantir Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Palantir Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Palantir Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Palantir Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Palantir Technologies' historical news coverage. Palantir Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.58 and 70.79, respectively. We have considered Palantir Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Palantir Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Palantir Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Palantir Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Palantir Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Palantir Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Palantir Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.24 | 4.33 | 4.54 | 2.72 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
64.35 | 59.88 | 6.95 |
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Palantir Technologies Hype Timeline
Palantir Technologies is at this time traded for 64.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -4.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.72. Palantir is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 59.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 118.31%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.95%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.24%. The volatility of related hype on Palantir Technologies is about 197.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.63. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.88. Palantir Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Palantir Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Palantir Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Palantir Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Palantir Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Palantir Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Palantir Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | (2.44) | 7 per month | 1.78 | 0.01 | 2.22 | (2.51) | 9.85 | |
| ADBE | Adobe Systems Incorporated | (16.93) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.87 | (2.89) | 10.09 | |
| CRWD | Crowdstrike Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.17 | 4.04 | (3.03) | 11.54 | |
| SQ | Block Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.15 | 4.62 | (2.94) | 14.80 | |
| SPLK | Splunk Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.03 | 4.36 | (3.33) | 10.70 | |
| ZS | Zscaler | 3.25 | 12 per month | 3.78 | 0.01 | 3.73 | (3.37) | 20.36 | |
| NET | Cloudflare | (0.66) | 11 per month | 1.75 | 0.11 | 5.47 | (3.44) | 13.45 | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | (0.08) | 2.09 | (1.85) | 8.19 | |
| ORCL | Oracle | (0.78) | 10 per month | 0.78 | 0.19 | 2.83 | (1.75) | 15.28 |
Palantir Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Palantir price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Palantir using various technical indicators. When you analyze Palantir charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Palantir Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Palantir Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Palantir Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Palantir Technologies based on analysis of Palantir Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Palantir Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Palantir Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 4.53 | 9.12 | 35.56 | 37.34 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 39.39 | 14.51 | 16.69 | 15.85 |
Story Coverage note for Palantir Technologies
The number of cover stories for Palantir Technologies depends on current market conditions and Palantir Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Palantir Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Palantir Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Palantir Technologies Short Properties
Palantir Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Palantir Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Palantir Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Palantir Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palantir Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Additional Tools for Palantir Stock Analysis
When running Palantir Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Palantir Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palantir Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Palantir Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palantir Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palantir Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palantir Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.