PENN NATL (Germany) Price Prediction
| PN1 Stock | EUR 19.18 0.33 1.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PENN NATL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PENN NATL GAMING from the perspective of PENN NATL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PENN NATL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PENN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PENN NATL after-hype prediction price | EUR 19.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PENN |
PENN NATL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PENN NATL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PENN NATL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PENN NATL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PENN NATL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PENN NATL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PENN NATL's historical news coverage. PENN NATL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.85 and 21.51, respectively. We have considered PENN NATL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PENN NATL is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PENN NATL GAMING is based on 3 months time horizon.
PENN NATL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PENN NATL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PENN NATL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PENN NATL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.18 | 19.18 | 0.00 |
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PENN NATL Hype Timeline
PENN NATL GAMING is at this time traded for 19.18on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PENN is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on PENN NATL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.18. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PENN NATL GAMING had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out PENN NATL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PENN NATL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PENN NATL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PENN NATL's future price movements. Getting to know how PENN NATL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PENN NATL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.01 | 2.24 | (2.65) | 9.79 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.01 | 2.28 | (2.21) | 6.17 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.01 | 1.91 | (2.15) | 7.12 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0) | 2.96 | (2.05) | 8.21 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (1.85) | 9.25 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | (0.01) | 2.17 | (1.64) | 11.42 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | (0.01) | 2.27 | (1.75) | 9.11 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | (0.01) | 2.10 | (1.40) | 8.71 |
PENN NATL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PENN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PENN using various technical indicators. When you analyze PENN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PENN NATL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PENN NATL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PENN NATL GAMING, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PENN NATL based on analysis of PENN NATL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PENN NATL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PENN NATL's related companies.
Story Coverage note for PENN NATL
The number of cover stories for PENN NATL depends on current market conditions and PENN NATL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PENN NATL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PENN NATL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PENN NATL Short Properties
PENN NATL's future price predictability will typically decrease when PENN NATL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PENN NATL GAMING often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PENN NATL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PENN NATL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 119.6 M |
Complementary Tools for PENN Stock analysis
When running PENN NATL's price analysis, check to measure PENN NATL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PENN NATL is operating at the current time. Most of PENN NATL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PENN NATL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PENN NATL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PENN NATL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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