PetMed Express (Germany) Price Prediction

PQM Stock  EUR 4.20  0.17  3.89%   
As of 4th of December 2024, The value of RSI of PetMed Express' share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PetMed Express, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PetMed Express' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PetMed Express and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PetMed Express' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PetMed Express, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PetMed Express hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PetMed Express from the perspective of PetMed Express response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PetMed Express to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PetMed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PetMed Express after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 4.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out PetMed Express Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in PetMed Stock please use our How to Invest in PetMed Express guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.139.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.869.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.154.334.51
Details

PetMed Express After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PetMed Express at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PetMed Express or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PetMed Express, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PetMed Express Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PetMed Express' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PetMed Express' historical news coverage. PetMed Express' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 9.81, respectively. We have considered PetMed Express' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.20
4.20
After-hype Price
9.81
Upside
PetMed Express is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PetMed Express is based on 3 months time horizon.

PetMed Express Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PetMed Express is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PetMed Express backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PetMed Express, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.72 
5.61
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.20
4.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

PetMed Express Hype Timeline

PetMed Express is at this time traded for 4.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PetMed is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.72%. %. The volatility of related hype on PetMed Express is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.20. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of PetMed Express was at this time reported as 6.57. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out PetMed Express Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in PetMed Stock please use our How to Invest in PetMed Express guide.

PetMed Express Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PetMed Express' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PetMed Express' future price movements. Getting to know how PetMed Express' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PetMed Express may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

PetMed Express Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PetMed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PetMed using various technical indicators. When you analyze PetMed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PetMed Express Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PetMed Express stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PetMed Express, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PetMed Express based on analysis of PetMed Express hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PetMed Express's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PetMed Express's related companies.

Story Coverage note for PetMed Express

The number of cover stories for PetMed Express depends on current market conditions and PetMed Express' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PetMed Express is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PetMed Express' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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PetMed Express Short Properties

PetMed Express' future price predictability will typically decrease when PetMed Express' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PetMed Express often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PetMed Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PetMed Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21 M

Complementary Tools for PetMed Stock analysis

When running PetMed Express' price analysis, check to measure PetMed Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PetMed Express is operating at the current time. Most of PetMed Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PetMed Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PetMed Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PetMed Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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