Probe Gold Stock Price Prediction
| PRB Stock | 3.65 0.01 0.27% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.13) | Wall Street Target Price 4.3083 |
Using Probe Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Probe Gold from the perspective of Probe Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Probe Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Probe because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Probe Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 3.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Probe |
Probe Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Probe Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Probe Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Probe Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Probe Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Probe Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Probe Gold's historical news coverage. Probe Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 9.11, respectively. We have considered Probe Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Probe Gold is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Probe Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Probe Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Probe Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Probe Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Probe Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 5.48 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.65 | 3.63 | 0.55 |
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Probe Gold Hype Timeline
Probe Gold is at this time traded for 3.65on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Probe is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Probe Gold is about 15222.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.67. About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.12. Probe Gold had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 14th of February 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Probe Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Probe Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Probe Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Probe Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Probe Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Probe Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OMG | Omai Gold Mines | 0.02 | 6 per month | 4.42 | 0.11 | 8.77 | (7.41) | 21.95 | |
| ATX | ATEX Resources | 0.01 | 6 per month | 2.65 | 0.11 | 7.01 | (5.56) | 14.23 | |
| RML | Rusoro Mining | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.63 | (4.35) | 18.45 | |
| AMRQ | Amaroq Minerals | 0.00 | 6 per month | 2.86 | 0.13 | 6.83 | (4.67) | 18.89 | |
| THX | Thor Explorations | (0.05) | 5 per month | 3.62 | 0.06 | 4.80 | (6.09) | 14.36 | |
| NFG | New Found Gold | 0.03 | 9 per month | 4.19 | 0.13 | 10.06 | (6.27) | 30.44 | |
| ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | (0.03) | 4 per month | 3.12 | 0.15 | 6.43 | (4.90) | 20.97 | |
| GAU | Galiano Gold | 0.20 | 8 per month | 4.72 | 0.03 | 7.16 | (8.66) | 25.66 | |
| ODV | Osisko Development Corp | 0.07 | 10 per month | 4.45 | 0.06 | 6.75 | (6.77) | 16.85 | |
| RBX | Res Robex | 0.07 | 5 per month | 3.50 | 0.13 | 7.89 | (5.47) | 19.32 |
Probe Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Probe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Probe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Probe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Probe Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Probe Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Probe Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Probe Gold based on analysis of Probe Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Probe Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Probe Gold's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PB Ratio | 6.39 | 8.56 | 15.33 | 16.09 | Capex To Depreciation | 0.7 | 0.14 | 0.0133 | 0.0126 |
Story Coverage note for Probe Gold
The number of cover stories for Probe Gold depends on current market conditions and Probe Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Probe Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Probe Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Probe Gold Short Properties
Probe Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Probe Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Probe Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Probe Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Probe Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Probe Stock
Probe Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Probe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Probe with respect to the benefits of owning Probe Gold security.