Patterson Uti Energy Stock Price Patterns
| PTEN Stock | USD 7.95 0.14 1.79% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.16) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.37) | Wall Street Target Price 7.4464 |
Using Patterson UTI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Patterson UTI Energy from the perspective of Patterson UTI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Patterson UTI using Patterson UTI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Patterson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Patterson UTI's stock price.
Patterson UTI Short Interest
An investor who is long Patterson UTI may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Patterson UTI and may potentially protect profits, hedge Patterson UTI with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.0137 | Short Percent 0.0934 | Short Ratio 2.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.8 M | 50 Day MA 6.455 |
Patterson UTI Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Patterson UTI's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Patterson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Patterson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Patterson UTI Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Patterson UTI's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Patterson UTI.
Patterson UTI Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Patterson UTI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Patterson UTI Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Patterson UTI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Patterson UTI stock will not fluctuate a lot when Patterson UTI's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Patterson UTI to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Patterson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Patterson UTI after-hype prediction price | USD 7.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Patterson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Patterson UTI Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Patterson UTI trading at USD 7.95, that is roughly USD 0.002981 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Patterson UTI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Patterson UTI Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Patterson | Build AI portfolio with Patterson Stock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Patterson UTI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Patterson UTI After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Patterson UTI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Patterson UTI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Patterson UTI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Patterson UTI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Patterson UTI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Patterson UTI's historical news coverage. Patterson UTI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.25 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Patterson UTI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Patterson UTI is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Patterson UTI Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Patterson UTI Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Patterson UTI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Patterson UTI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Patterson UTI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.62 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.95 | 7.86 | 0.25 |
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Patterson UTI Hype Timeline
Patterson UTI Energy is at this time traded for 7.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Patterson is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Patterson UTI is about 645.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.15. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.89. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Patterson UTI Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.37. The firm last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Patterson UTI had 2:1 split on the 1st of July 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Patterson UTI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Patterson UTI Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Patterson UTI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Patterson UTI's future price movements. Getting to know how Patterson UTI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Patterson UTI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HP | Helmerich and Payne | 0.16 | 9 per month | 1.93 | 0.19 | 4.11 | (4.04) | 10.51 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | (0.28) | 11 per month | 1.90 | 0.16 | 5.31 | (3.35) | 12.51 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.46) | 12 per month | 1.32 | 0.13 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | 0.53 | 11 per month | 1.30 | 0.13 | 2.45 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.27 | (3.81) | 12.71 | |
| TDW | Tidewater | 4.20 | 8 per month | 2.60 | 0.14 | 5.06 | (5.04) | 15.89 | |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Co | (0.24) | 8 per month | 3.00 | 0.08 | 4.89 | (5.18) | 15.66 | |
| KNTK | Kinetik Holdings | 0.14 | 10 per month | 2.54 | 0.05 | 3.18 | (3.31) | 12.65 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | 0.21 | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 3.76 | (2.86) | 8.30 | |
| CIVI | Civitas Resources | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.63 | (4.19) | 11.71 |
Patterson UTI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Patterson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Patterson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Patterson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Patterson UTI Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Patterson UTI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Patterson UTI Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Patterson UTI based on analysis of Patterson UTI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Patterson UTI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Patterson UTI's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0331 | 0.0386 | 0.0348 | 0.0365 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.73 | 0.61 | 0.7 | 0.67 |
Pair Trading with Patterson UTI
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Patterson UTI position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Patterson UTI will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Patterson Stock
| 0.93 | NBR | Nabors Industries Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | PDS | Precision Drilling Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | B2W | BORR DRILLING NEW | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | CAPD | Capital Drilling | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | PD | Precision Drilling Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Patterson Stock
| 0.77 | PBCRY | Bank Central Asia | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | PTAIF | PT Astra International | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | PBCRF | PT Bank Central | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | SDI | Stampede Drilling | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Patterson UTI could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Patterson UTI when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Patterson UTI - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Patterson UTI Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Patterson UTI is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Patterson UTI moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Patterson UTI Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Patterson UTI can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Patterson UTI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Will Energy Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could Patterson diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Patterson UTI. Anticipated expansion of Patterson directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Patterson UTI data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share (0.37) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Investors evaluate Patterson UTI Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Patterson UTI's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Patterson UTI's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Patterson UTI's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Patterson UTI should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Patterson UTI's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.