Quaint Oak Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

QNTO Stock  USD 12.16  0.35  2.96%   
The value of RSI of Quaint Oak's otc stock price is about 65 indicating that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Quaint, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Quaint Oak Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Quaint Oak shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Quaint Oak's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Quaint Oak and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Quaint Oak's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Quaint Oak Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Quaint Oak based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Quaint Oak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quaint Oak Bancorp from the perspective of Quaint Oak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Quaint Oak. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Quaint Oak to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Quaint because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Quaint Oak after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Quaint Oak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quaint Oak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4811.3513.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2512.1214.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0611.4611.87
Details

Quaint Oak After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Quaint Oak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Quaint Oak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Quaint Oak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Quaint Oak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Quaint Oak's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Quaint Oak's historical news coverage. Quaint Oak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.29 and 14.03, respectively. We have considered Quaint Oak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.16
12.16
After-hype Price
14.03
Upside
Quaint Oak is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Quaint Oak Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Quaint Oak OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Quaint Oak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quaint Oak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Quaint Oak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
1.87
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.16
12.16
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Quaint Oak Hype Timeline

Quaint Oak Bancorp is at this time traded for 12.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Quaint is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Quaint Oak is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.16. About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Quaint Oak Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of September 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Quaint Oak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Quaint Oak Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Quaint Oak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Quaint Oak's future price movements. Getting to know how Quaint Oak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Quaint Oak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SSBPSSB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.40  0.06  3.39 (0.99) 13.73 
EFSGEnterprise Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.27  0.00  24.02 
HVLMHuron Valley Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.00  0.00  2.01 
APLOApollo Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  1.63 (1.24) 14.55 
CNAFCommercial National Financial 0.00 0 per month 1.24 (0.06) 1.96 (2.29) 5.73 
RBNKRiverBank Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.21  4.00  0.00  9.97 
WOBKWoodsboro Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  2.78 (0.38) 13.20 
FRFCFirst Robinson Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.49  0.19  3.15 (0.64) 9.68 
BKUTKBank Utica Ny 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.02  2.51 (2.83) 8.53 
LKSBLakeside Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.42 (4.00) 28.20 

Quaint Oak Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Quaint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quaint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quaint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Quaint Oak Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Quaint Oak stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Quaint Oak Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Quaint Oak based on analysis of Quaint Oak hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Quaint Oak's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Quaint Oak's related companies.

Pair Trading with Quaint Oak

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Quaint Oak position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Quaint Oak will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Quaint OTC Stock

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Moving against Quaint OTC Stock

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  0.39MMM 3M CompanyPairCorr
  0.36BKLRF Berkeley EnergyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Quaint Oak could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Quaint Oak when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Quaint Oak - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Quaint Oak Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of Quaint Oak is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Quaint Oak moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Quaint Oak Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Quaint Oak can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Quaint OTC Stock

Quaint Oak financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quaint OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quaint with respect to the benefits of owning Quaint Oak security.