Redfin Corp Stock Price Prediction
| RDFN Stock | USD 9.61 0.02 0.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.286 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.25) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.96) | Wall Street Target Price 9.1846 |
Using Redfin Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Redfin Corp from the perspective of Redfin Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Redfin Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Redfin Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Redfin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Redfin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Redfin Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Redfin Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Redfin Corp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Redfin Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Redfin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Redfin Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 9.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Redfin |
Redfin Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Redfin Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Redfin Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Redfin Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Redfin Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Redfin Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Redfin Corp's historical news coverage. Redfin Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.73 and 15.49, respectively. We have considered Redfin Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Redfin Corp is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Redfin Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Redfin Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Redfin Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Redfin Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Redfin Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 5.83 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.61 | 9.61 | 0.21 |
|
Redfin Corp Hype Timeline
Redfin Corp is at this time traded for 9.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Redfin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Redfin Corp is about 5928.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.62. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.27. Redfin Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Redfin Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Redfin Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Redfin Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Redfin Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Redfin Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Redfin Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions | 0.06 | 8 per month | 5.06 | 0.02 | 9.19 | (9.91) | 25.50 | |
| WE | WeWork Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.76 | (13.04) | 35.71 | |
| EXPI | eXp World Holdings | 0.09 | 12 per month | 2.21 | 0.02 | 6.04 | (4.28) | 15.18 | |
| OMH | Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.70 | (7.69) | 33.03 | |
| REAX | Real Brokerage | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.07 | (5.26) | 18.77 | |
| OPEN | Opendoor Technologies | 0.02 | 7 per month | 4.49 | 0 | 6.86 | (7.41) | 21.20 | |
| RMAX | Re Max Holding | (0.22) | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0.07 | 6.12 | (4.18) | 24.53 | |
| HOUS | Anywhere Real Estate | 0.32 | 9 per month | 3.15 | (0.02) | 7.23 | (5.35) | 19.60 | |
| DOMA | Doma Holdings | 0.07 | 6 per month | 0.29 | (0.08) | 1.01 | (0.66) | 3.50 | |
| MMI | Marcus Millichap | 1.29 | 9 per month | 1.52 | (0.01) | 3.98 | (2.59) | 7.80 | |
| FRPH | Frp Holdings Ord | (0.44) | 10 per month | 1.08 | (0) | 2.19 | (1.94) | 4.84 | |
| MLP | Maui Land Pineapple | (0.02) | 4 per month | 2.92 | (0) | 4.26 | (5.00) | 20.43 |
Redfin Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Redfin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Redfin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Redfin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Redfin Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Redfin Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Redfin Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Redfin Corp based on analysis of Redfin Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Redfin Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Redfin Corp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001571 | 0.00165 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.2 | 1.14 |
Story Coverage note for Redfin Corp
The number of cover stories for Redfin Corp depends on current market conditions and Redfin Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Redfin Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Redfin Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Redfin Corp Short Properties
Redfin Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Redfin Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Redfin Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Redfin Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Redfin Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 196.3 M |
Check out Redfin Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Redfin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Redfin Corp guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Redfin Corp. If investors know Redfin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Redfin Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.286 | Earnings Share (1.27) | Revenue Per Share 8.511 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of Redfin Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Redfin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Redfin Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Redfin Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Redfin Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Redfin Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Redfin Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Redfin Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Redfin Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.