Rea (Australia) Price Prediction

REA Stock   248.37  1.13  0.46%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Rea's share price is above 70 at this time indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Rea, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rea's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rea Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rea's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.135
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.5
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.19
Wall Street Target Price
229.3667
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.258
Using Rea hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rea Group from the perspective of Rea response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rea to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rea because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rea after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 248.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rea Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
195.41196.97273.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
251.84253.41254.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.850.880.91
Details

Rea After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rea at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rea or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rea, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rea Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rea's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rea's historical news coverage. Rea's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 246.53 and 249.65, respectively. We have considered Rea's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
248.37
246.53
Downside
248.09
After-hype Price
249.65
Upside
Rea is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rea Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rea Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rea is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rea backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rea, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.56
  0.28 
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
248.37
248.09
0.11 
123.81  
Notes

Rea Hype Timeline

Rea Group is at this time traded for 248.37on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Rea is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 248.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 123.81%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Rea is about 21666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 248.37. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2024. Rea Group had 1.0151:1 split on the 15th of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Rea Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rea Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rea's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rea's future price movements. Getting to know how Rea's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rea may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Rea Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rea Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rea stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rea Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rea based on analysis of Rea hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rea's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rea's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Rea

The number of cover stories for Rea depends on current market conditions and Rea's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rea is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rea's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Rea Short Properties

Rea's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rea's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rea Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments204.2 M

Additional Tools for Rea Stock Analysis

When running Rea's price analysis, check to measure Rea's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rea is operating at the current time. Most of Rea's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rea's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rea's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rea to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.