Regencell Bioscience Holdings Stock Price Prediction

RGC Stock  USD 31.41  0.64  2.08%   
The RSI of Regencell Bioscience's stock price is about 67 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Regencell, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 67

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Regencell Bioscience's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Regencell Bioscience Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Regencell Bioscience hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regencell Bioscience Holdings from the perspective of Regencell Bioscience response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Regencell Bioscience using Regencell Bioscience's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Regencell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Regencell Bioscience's stock price.

Regencell Bioscience Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Regencell Bioscience's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Regencell. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Regencell Bioscience stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
15.745
Short Percent
0.0232
Short Ratio
3.98
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
20.5882

Regencell Bioscience Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Regencell Bioscience's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Regencell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Regencell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Regencell Bioscience Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Regencell Bioscience's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Regencell Bioscience.

Regencell Bioscience Implied Volatility

    
  2.13  
Regencell Bioscience's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Regencell Bioscience Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Regencell Bioscience's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Regencell Bioscience stock will not fluctuate a lot when Regencell Bioscience's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Regencell Bioscience to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Regencell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Regencell Bioscience after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Regencell contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Regencell Bioscience Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Regencell Bioscience trading at USD 31.41, that is roughly USD 0.0418 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Regencell Bioscience's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Regencell Bioscience Holdings options at the current volatility level of 2.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Regencell Bioscience Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7830.0743.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.5320.8234.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.5024.7043.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Regencell Bioscience. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Regencell Bioscience's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Regencell Bioscience's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Regencell Bioscience.

Regencell Bioscience After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Regencell Bioscience at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regencell Bioscience or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regencell Bioscience, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Regencell Bioscience Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Regencell Bioscience's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regencell Bioscience's historical news coverage. Regencell Bioscience's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.57 and 38.15, respectively. We have considered Regencell Bioscience's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.41
24.86
After-hype Price
38.15
Upside
Regencell Bioscience is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regencell Bioscience is based on 3 months time horizon.

Regencell Bioscience Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regencell Bioscience is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regencell Bioscience backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regencell Bioscience, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.83 
13.29
  6.55 
  4.66 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.41
24.86
20.85 
371.23  
Notes

Regencell Bioscience Hype Timeline

On the 24th of January Regencell Bioscience is traded for 31.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -6.55, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 4.66. Regencell is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -20.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.83%. The volatility of related hype on Regencell Bioscience is about 522.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.07. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. Regencell Bioscience recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2017. The firm had 38:1 split on the 16th of June 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Regencell Bioscience Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Regencell Bioscience Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Regencell Bioscience's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regencell Bioscience's future price movements. Getting to know how Regencell Bioscience's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regencell Bioscience may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CYTKCytokinetics(1.64)11 per month 2.37  0.02  4.59 (3.85) 10.86 
MRUSMerus BV 0.09 15 per month 0.60  0.09  0.51 (0.23) 36.44 
ATRAptarGroup 1.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.73 (2.49) 7.63 
GRFSGrifols SA ADR(3.58)2 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.17 (3.19) 8.69 
ABVXAbivax SA American 1.73 10 per month 3.30  0.10  6.94 (6.09) 29.38 
RYTMRhythm Pharmaceuticals 3.89 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.03 (5.14) 18.69 
STVNStevanato Group SpA 11.85 19 per month 0.00 (0.23) 4.69 (4.32) 12.60 
AXSMAxsome Therapeutics(1.21)10 per month 1.23  0.15  4.20 (2.36) 26.78 
NUVLNuvalent 1.34 14 per month 2.73  0.03  4.63 (4.96) 17.52 
MASIMasimo 11.85 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.06 (2.71) 10.00 

Regencell Bioscience Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Regencell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regencell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regencell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Regencell Bioscience Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Regencell Bioscience stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Regencell Bioscience Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Regencell Bioscience based on analysis of Regencell Bioscience hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Regencell Bioscience's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Regencell Bioscience's related companies.

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