Rapid7 Inc Stock Price Prediction
| RPD Stock | USD 38.95 0.13 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2912 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3345 | Wall Street Target Price 43.4391 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.52 |
Using Rapid7 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rapid7 Inc from the perspective of Rapid7 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rapid7 using Rapid7's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rapid7 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rapid7's stock price.
Rapid7 Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Rapid7's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Rapid7. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Rapid7 stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 39.5042 | Short Percent 0.0699 | Short Ratio 4.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 40.507 |
Rapid7 Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rapid7's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rapid7. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rapid7 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rapid7 Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rapid7's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rapid7.
Rapid7 Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Rapid7's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rapid7 Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rapid7's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rapid7 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rapid7's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rapid7 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rapid7 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rapid7 after-hype prediction price | USD 38.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rapid7 contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rapid7 Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Rapid7 trading at USD 38.95, that is roughly USD 0.0161 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rapid7's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rapid7 Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Rapid7 |
Rapid7 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rapid7 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rapid7 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rapid7, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rapid7 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rapid7's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rapid7's historical news coverage. Rapid7's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.20 and 40.72, respectively. We have considered Rapid7's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rapid7 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rapid7 Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rapid7 Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rapid7 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rapid7 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rapid7, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.76 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.95 | 38.96 | 0.03 |
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Rapid7 Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Rapid7 Inc is traded for 38.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Rapid7 is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Rapid7 is about 364.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.94. The company reported the last year's revenue of 777.71 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (149.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 588.5 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Rapid7 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rapid7 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rapid7's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rapid7's future price movements. Getting to know how Rapid7's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rapid7 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Rapid7 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rapid7 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rapid7 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rapid7 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rapid7 Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rapid7 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rapid7 Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rapid7 based on analysis of Rapid7 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rapid7's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rapid7's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 20.9 | 13.19 | 14.38 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 59.44 | 53.5 | 36.62 |
Story Coverage note for Rapid7
The number of cover stories for Rapid7 depends on current market conditions and Rapid7's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rapid7 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rapid7's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rapid7 Short Properties
Rapid7's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rapid7's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rapid7 Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rapid7's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rapid7's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 383.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Rapid7 Stock analysis
When running Rapid7's price analysis, check to measure Rapid7's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rapid7 is operating at the current time. Most of Rapid7's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rapid7's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rapid7's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rapid7 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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