Raytheon Technologies Corp Stock Price Prediction
| RTX Stock | USD 128.78 0.38 0.29% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3829 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.128 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8348 | Wall Street Target Price 142.005 |
Using Raytheon Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Raytheon Technologies Corp from the perspective of Raytheon Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Raytheon Technologies using Raytheon Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Raytheon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Raytheon Technologies' stock price.
Raytheon Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Raytheon Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Raytheon Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Raytheon Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 114.7882 | Short Percent 0.0086 | Short Ratio 2.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.7 M | 50 Day MA 119.9114 |
Raytheon Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Raytheon Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Raytheon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Raytheon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Raytheon Technologies Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Raytheon Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Raytheon Technologies.
Raytheon Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Raytheon Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Raytheon Technologies Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Raytheon Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Raytheon Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Raytheon Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Raytheon Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Raytheon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Raytheon Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 128.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Raytheon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Raytheon Technologies Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Raytheon Technologies trading at USD 128.78, that is roughly USD 0.0274 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Raytheon Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Raytheon Technologies Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Raytheon |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Raytheon Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Raytheon Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Raytheon Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Raytheon Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Raytheon Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Raytheon Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Raytheon Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Raytheon Technologies' historical news coverage. Raytheon Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 127.29 and 129.99, respectively. We have considered Raytheon Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Raytheon Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Raytheon Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Raytheon Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Raytheon Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Raytheon Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Raytheon Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.36 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
128.78 | 128.64 | 0.11 |
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Raytheon Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February Raytheon Technologies is traded for 128.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Raytheon is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 128.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 86.62%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Raytheon Technologies is about 464.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 128.80. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Raytheon Technologies was at this time reported as 45.92. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.34. Raytheon Technologies last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The entity had 15890:1000 split on the 3rd of April 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Raytheon Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Raytheon Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Raytheon Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Raytheon Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Raytheon Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Raytheon Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GWMGF | Great Western Minerals | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp | 0.23 | 10 per month | 1.36 | 0.14 | 3.87 | (2.82) | 22.60 | |
| TROSX | T Rowe Price | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.85 | (0.1) | 1.18 | (1.38) | 3.74 | |
| AVNW | Aviat Networks | (0.69) | 9 per month | 6.39 | 0.06 | 6.02 | (4.73) | 38.57 | |
| HPQ | HP Inc | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.30 | (1.95) | 14.73 | |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 2.34 | 8 per month | 1.41 | (0.03) | 2.21 | (2.57) | 7.41 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 1.61 | (2.44) | 6.97 | |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse | 1.10 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.18 | (2.11) | 8.91 | |
| VPKIX | Vanguard Pacific Stock | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.80 | (0.08) | 1.33 | (1.16) | 4.01 | |
| ZD | Ziff Davis | (0.38) | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 2.75 | (2.73) | 20.12 |
Raytheon Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Raytheon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Raytheon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Raytheon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Raytheon Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Raytheon Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Raytheon Technologies Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Raytheon Technologies based on analysis of Raytheon Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Raytheon Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Raytheon Technologies's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.021 | 0.027 | 0.0209 | 0.0198 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.22 | 1.74 | 1.91 | 2.0 |
Story Coverage note for Raytheon Technologies
The number of cover stories for Raytheon Technologies depends on current market conditions and Raytheon Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Raytheon Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Raytheon Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Raytheon Technologies Short Properties
Raytheon Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Raytheon Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Raytheon Technologies Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Raytheon Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raytheon Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 B |
Additional Tools for Raytheon Stock Analysis
When running Raytheon Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Raytheon Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raytheon Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Raytheon Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raytheon Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raytheon Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raytheon Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.