Rumble Inc Stock Price Patterns
| RUM Stock | USD 6.25 0.47 8.13% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 22 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.06) |
Using Rumble hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rumble Inc from the perspective of Rumble response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rumble using Rumble's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rumble using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rumble's stock price.
Rumble Short Interest
An investor who is long Rumble may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rumble and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rumble with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.6609 | Short Ratio 9.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 22 M | 50 Day MA 6.5095 | Shares Short 21.3 M |
Rumble Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rumble's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rumble. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rumble can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rumble Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rumble's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rumble.
Rumble Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Rumble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rumble Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rumble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rumble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rumble's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rumble to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rumble because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rumble after-hype prediction price | USD 6.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rumble contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rumble Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Rumble trading at USD 6.25, that is roughly USD 0.004297 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rumble's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rumble Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Rumble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rumble's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rumble After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rumble at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rumble or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rumble, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rumble Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rumble's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rumble's historical news coverage. Rumble's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.94 and 10.60, respectively. We have considered Rumble's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rumble is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rumble Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rumble Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rumble is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rumble backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rumble, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 4.32 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.25 | 6.27 | 0.16 |
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Rumble Hype Timeline
On the 9th of February Rumble Inc is traded for 6.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Rumble is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Rumble is about 5082.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.24. The company reported the last year's revenue of 95.49 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (338.36 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (12.54 M). Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Rumble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rumble Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rumble's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rumble's future price movements. Getting to know how Rumble's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rumble may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNG | Ringcentral | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.48 | (6.09) | 11.10 | |
| NATL | NCR Atleos | 0.75 | 11 per month | 2.19 | 0.04 | 3.55 | (3.05) | 12.49 | |
| GRND | Grindr Inc | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.13 | (3.69) | 23.18 | |
| ALRM | Alarm Holdings | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.86 | (2.86) | 11.77 | |
| BRZE | Braze Inc | (1.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.40 | (8.25) | 27.69 | |
| YOU | Clear Secure | 0.85 | 10 per month | 2.02 | 0.03 | 5.49 | (3.81) | 18.67 | |
| BLKB | Blackbaud | (0.55) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.57 | (4.33) | 12.40 | |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings | (0.24) | 8 per month | 3.20 | 0.01 | 8.10 | (4.76) | 29.29 | |
| SPNS | Sapiens International | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.28 | (0.12) | 32,006 | |
| WBTN | WEBTOON Entertainment Common | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.63 | (4.43) | 27.89 |
Rumble Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rumble price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rumble using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rumble charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rumble Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rumble stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rumble Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rumble based on analysis of Rumble hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rumble's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rumble's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 1.64 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.38 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 0.11 | 0.2 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Rumble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Interactive Media & Services sector continue expanding? Could Rumble diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rumble. Anticipated expansion of Rumble directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rumble data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.35) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Rumble Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Rumble's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Rumble's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Rumble's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rumble's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rumble should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Rumble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.