Ryanair Holdings Plc Stock Price Patterns

RYAAY Stock  USD 67.08  2.44  3.51%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ryanair Holdings' share price is approaching 42 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ryanair Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ryanair Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ryanair Holdings PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ryanair Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.79)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.93)
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.7941
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.7851
Wall Street Target Price
80.16
Using Ryanair Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ryanair Holdings PLC from the perspective of Ryanair Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ryanair Holdings using Ryanair Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ryanair using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ryanair Holdings' stock price.

Ryanair Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Ryanair Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ryanair Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ryanair Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
61.5974
Short Percent
0.0043
Short Ratio
1.29
Shares Short Prior Month
1.6 M
50 Day MA
69.8718

Ryanair Holdings PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ryanair Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ryanair. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ryanair can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ryanair Holdings PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ryanair Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ryanair Holdings.

Ryanair Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.64  
Ryanair Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ryanair Holdings PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ryanair Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ryanair Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ryanair Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ryanair Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ryanair because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ryanair Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 67.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ryanair contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ryanair Holdings PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ryanair Holdings trading at USD 67.08, that is roughly USD 0.0268 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ryanair Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ryanair Holdings PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Ryanair Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.3773.5675.32
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
72.9580.1688.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.161.201.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ryanair Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ryanair Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ryanair Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ryanair Holdings PLC.

Ryanair Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ryanair Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ryanair Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ryanair Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ryanair Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ryanair Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ryanair Holdings' historical news coverage. Ryanair Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.32 and 68.84, respectively. We have considered Ryanair Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
67.08
67.08
After-hype Price
68.84
Upside
Ryanair Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ryanair Holdings PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ryanair Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ryanair Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ryanair Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ryanair Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.82
 0.00  
  0.09 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.08
67.08
0.00 
6,067  
Notes

Ryanair Holdings Hype Timeline

Ryanair Holdings PLC is at this time traded for 67.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. Ryanair is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ryanair Holdings is about 177.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.17. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ryanair Holdings was at this time reported as 9.89. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.9. Ryanair Holdings PLC recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. The firm had 2499:1000 split on the 30th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Ryanair Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ryanair Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ryanair Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ryanair Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Ryanair Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ryanair Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RRyder System(0.42)8 per month 1.50  0.15  3.79 (3.01) 8.43 
ADTADT Inc(0.06)9 per month 1.24 (0.04) 1.73 (2.31) 5.63 
ALAir Lease 0.05 11 per month 0.00 (0.55) 0.23 (0.14) 0.50 
CPACopa Holdings SA 2.50 11 per month 2.06  0.10  3.47 (2.09) 13.17 
AALAmerican Airlines Group 0.28 6 per month 2.31  0.05  3.80 (3.77) 12.15 
OMABGrupo Aeroportuario del 0.86 9 per month 0.94  0.17  4.68 (1.79) 9.66 
ASRGrupo Aeroportuario del 1.40 8 per month 0.86  0.17  2.48 (1.73) 6.58 
TTCToro Co 0.97 11 per month 0.65  0.19  2.94 (1.82) 13.49 
ACHRArcher Aviation(0.15)7 per month 0.00 (0.1) 7.19 (7.21) 15.89 
ESABESAB Corp 4.81 7 per month 1.57  0.09  3.91 (2.58) 10.18 

Ryanair Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ryanair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ryanair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ryanair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ryanair Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ryanair Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ryanair Holdings PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ryanair Holdings based on analysis of Ryanair Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ryanair Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ryanair Holdings's related companies.
 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02130.0233
Price To Sales Ratio1.471.61

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Additional Tools for Ryanair Stock Analysis

When running Ryanair Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Ryanair Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ryanair Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Ryanair Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ryanair Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ryanair Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ryanair Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.