Southern Copper Stock Price Prediction
| SCCO Stock | USD 102.01 2.27 2.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.452 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5354 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.8752 | Wall Street Target Price 100.9848 |
Using Southern Copper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Copper from the perspective of Southern Copper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Southern Copper to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Southern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Southern Copper after-hype prediction price | USD 99.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southern Copper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Southern Copper After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Copper at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Copper or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southern Copper, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Copper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Copper's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Copper's historical news coverage. Southern Copper's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.20 and 102.20, respectively. We have considered Southern Copper's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Copper is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Copper is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Copper Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Copper is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Copper backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Copper, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.50 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.01 | 99.70 | 0.04 |
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Southern Copper Hype Timeline
Southern Copper is at this time traded for 102.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Southern is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 99.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Southern Copper is about 5392.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.01. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. Southern Copper last dividend was issued on the 6th of November 2024. The entity had 1006:1000 split on the 6th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Southern Copper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Southern Copper Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Copper's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Copper's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Copper's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Copper may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERO | Ero Copper Corp | 0.41 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.24 | (4.44) | 15.44 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 0.14 | 9 per month | 2.95 | 0.04 | 4.23 | (4.77) | 15.90 | |
| TGB | Taseko Mines | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.66 | (5.28) | 22.48 | |
| ARREF | Amerigo Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | (0.04) | 3.94 | (3.36) | 11.29 | |
| CPPMF | Copper Mountain Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.81 | 0.05 | 16.67 | (13.33) | 57.50 | |
| CSCCF | Capstone Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.20 | (0.01) | 6.17 | (4.49) | 15.71 | |
| LUNMF | Lundin Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | 0.12 | 4.41 | (3.81) | 14.28 | |
| NEVDF | Nevada Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | (12.50) | 82.02 | |
| CPPKF | Copperbank Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | 0 | 3.70 | (4.55) | 12.05 | |
| FQVLF | First Quantum Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.42 | 0.03 | 5.99 | (4.22) | 18.63 | |
| ANFGF | Antofagasta PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.36 | (6.59) | 19.40 |
Southern Copper Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Southern Copper Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Southern Copper stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Southern Copper, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Southern Copper based on analysis of Southern Copper hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Southern Copper's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Southern Copper's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.053 | 0.0593 | 0.0468 | 0.0484 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.27 | 4.54 | 6.68 | 7.02 |
Story Coverage note for Southern Copper
The number of cover stories for Southern Copper depends on current market conditions and Southern Copper's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Copper is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Copper's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Southern Copper Short Properties
Southern Copper's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern Copper's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern Copper often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern Copper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Copper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 785.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Southern Copper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Southern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Southern Copper guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Copper. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern Copper listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.452 | Dividend Share 2.37 | Earnings Share 3.83 | Revenue Per Share 13.947 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 |
The market value of Southern Copper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern Copper's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern Copper's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern Copper's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern Copper's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Copper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Copper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Copper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.