Solaredge Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| SEDG Stock | USD 11.88 1.15 10.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.598 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.34) | EPS Estimate Current Year (17.23) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.24) | Wall Street Target Price 18.8132 |
Using SolarEdge Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SolarEdge Technologies from the perspective of SolarEdge Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
SolarEdge Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SolarEdge Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SolarEdge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SolarEdge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SolarEdge Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SolarEdge Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SolarEdge Technologies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SolarEdge Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SolarEdge because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SolarEdge Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 11.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SolarEdge |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SolarEdge Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SolarEdge Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SolarEdge Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SolarEdge Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SolarEdge Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SolarEdge Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SolarEdge Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SolarEdge Technologies' historical news coverage. SolarEdge Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.45 and 17.91, respectively. We have considered SolarEdge Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SolarEdge Technologies is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SolarEdge Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
SolarEdge Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SolarEdge Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SolarEdge Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SolarEdge Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.99 | 6.28 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.88 | 11.68 | 1.68 |
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SolarEdge Technologies Hype Timeline
SolarEdge Technologies is at this time traded for 11.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.43. SolarEdge is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.68%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.99%. The volatility of related hype on SolarEdge Technologies is about 1456.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.31. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SolarEdge Technologies has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 126.01. The entity recorded a loss per share of 29.1. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out SolarEdge Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SolarEdge Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SolarEdge Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SolarEdge Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how SolarEdge Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SolarEdge Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSLR | First Solar | 0.83 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.77 | (5.97) | 25.32 | |
| RUN | Sunrun Inc | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.23 | (9.35) | 40.96 | |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | (0.1) | 11 per month | 6.22 | (0) | 9.83 | (8.50) | 35.56 | |
| SPWR | SunPower | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 10.29 | (40.08) | 75.00 | |
| ENPH | Enphase Energy | 3.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.25 | (6.72) | 23.33 | |
| NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 14.57 | (9.06) | 67.41 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | 1.37 | 11 per month | 6.06 | 0.06 | 9.45 | (7.53) | 36.24 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | (0.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 15.60 | (17.22) | 59.83 |
SolarEdge Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SolarEdge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SolarEdge using various technical indicators. When you analyze SolarEdge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SolarEdge Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SolarEdge Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SolarEdge Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SolarEdge Technologies based on analysis of SolarEdge Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SolarEdge Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SolarEdge Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.29 | 4.93 | 5.88 | 4.44 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 103.97 | 117.48 | 231.82 | 243.41 |
Story Coverage note for SolarEdge Technologies
The number of cover stories for SolarEdge Technologies depends on current market conditions and SolarEdge Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SolarEdge Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SolarEdge Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SolarEdge Technologies Short Properties
SolarEdge Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when SolarEdge Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SolarEdge Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SolarEdge Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SolarEdge Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 860 M |
Complementary Tools for SolarEdge Stock analysis
When running SolarEdge Technologies' price analysis, check to measure SolarEdge Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SolarEdge Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of SolarEdge Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SolarEdge Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SolarEdge Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SolarEdge Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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