Array Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| ARRY Stock | USD 7.15 0.47 7.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Array Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Array Technologies from the perspective of Array Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Array Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Array because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Array Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 7.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Array |
Array Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Array Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Array Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Array Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Array Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Array Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Array Technologies' historical news coverage. Array Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.39 and 13.43, respectively. We have considered Array Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Array Technologies is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Array Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Array Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Array Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Array Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Array Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 6.08 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.15 | 7.41 | 1.23 |
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Array Technologies Hype Timeline
Array Technologies is presently traded for 7.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.19. Array is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Array Technologies is about 968.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.58 B. Net Income was 137.24 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 299.59 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Array Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Array Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Array Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Array Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Array Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Array Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEDG | SolarEdge Technologies | (1.49) | 9 per month | 7.30 | (0.01) | 11.74 | (10.53) | 31.42 | |
| ENPH | Enphase Energy | (2.68) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.41 | (6.36) | 21.51 | |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | (0.71) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.27 | (7.84) | 35.56 | |
| RUN | Sunrun Inc | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.53 | (9.13) | 38.57 | |
| SPWR | SunPower | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 10.29 | (40.08) | 75.00 | |
| FSLR | First Solar | (3.28) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.34 | (4.86) | 15.51 | |
| NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | 0.19 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.31 | (13.08) | 65.87 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | 1.00 | 10 per month | 4.91 | (0.0008) | 7.64 | (6.45) | 32.08 | |
| NXT | Nextracker Class A | 1.39 | 9 per month | 2.56 | 0.14 | 7.22 | (4.79) | 32.00 |
Array Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Array price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Array using various technical indicators. When you analyze Array charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Array Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Array Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Array Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Array Technologies based on analysis of Array Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Array Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Array Technologies's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Array Technologies
The number of cover stories for Array Technologies depends on current market conditions and Array Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Array Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Array Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Array Technologies Short Properties
Array Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Array Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Array Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Array Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Array Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 249.1 M |
Additional Tools for Array Stock Analysis
When running Array Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Array Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Array Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Array Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Array Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Array Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Array Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.