Silvercrest Metals Stock Price Prediction
| SIL Stock | 14.43 0.12 0.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.997 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7985 | Wall Street Target Price 14 |
Using SilverCrest Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SilverCrest Metals from the perspective of SilverCrest Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SilverCrest Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SilverCrest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SilverCrest Metals after-hype prediction price | CAD 14.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SilverCrest |
SilverCrest Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SilverCrest Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SilverCrest Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SilverCrest Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SilverCrest Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SilverCrest Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SilverCrest Metals' historical news coverage. SilverCrest Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.71 and 18.09, respectively. We have considered SilverCrest Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SilverCrest Metals is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SilverCrest Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
SilverCrest Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SilverCrest Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SilverCrest Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SilverCrest Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.69 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.43 | 14.40 | 0.21 |
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SilverCrest Metals Hype Timeline
SilverCrest Metals is at this time traded for 14.43on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. SilverCrest is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on SilverCrest Metals is about 9225.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.45. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SilverCrest Metals was at this time reported as 3.12. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. SilverCrest Metals had 1:3 split on the 18th of November 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out SilverCrest Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SilverCrest Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SilverCrest Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SilverCrest Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how SilverCrest Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SilverCrest Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AG | First Majestic Silver | 0.05 | 4 per month | 2.89 | 0.03 | 6.12 | (4.50) | 19.85 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Energy | 0.10 | 1 per month | 2.84 | 0.11 | 5.97 | (4.72) | 19.82 | |
| ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.19 | (6.49) | 18.09 | |
| FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | 0.04 | 1 per month | 1.65 | 0.02 | 3.37 | (2.67) | 9.12 | |
| INFM | Infinico Metals Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | (16.67) | 82.86 |
SilverCrest Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SilverCrest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SilverCrest using various technical indicators. When you analyze SilverCrest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SilverCrest Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SilverCrest Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SilverCrest Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SilverCrest Metals based on analysis of SilverCrest Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SilverCrest Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SilverCrest Metals's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 24.37 | 23.15 | PTB Ratio | 2.39 | 2.27 |
Story Coverage note for SilverCrest Metals
The number of cover stories for SilverCrest Metals depends on current market conditions and SilverCrest Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SilverCrest Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SilverCrest Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SilverCrest Metals Short Properties
SilverCrest Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when SilverCrest Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SilverCrest Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SilverCrest Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SilverCrest Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 146.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86 M |
Check out SilverCrest Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in SilverCrest Stock, please use our How to Invest in SilverCrest Metals guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.