San Juan Basin Stock Price Prediction
| SJT Stock | USD 4.04 0.21 5.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Wall Street Target Price 20.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.91) |
Using San Juan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of San Juan Basin from the perspective of San Juan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in San Juan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying San because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
San Juan after-hype prediction price | USD 4.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
San |
San Juan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of San Juan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in San Juan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of San Juan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
San Juan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting San Juan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on San Juan's historical news coverage. San Juan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.46 and 6.62, respectively. We have considered San Juan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
San Juan is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of San Juan Basin is based on 3 months time horizon.
San Juan Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as San Juan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading San Juan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with San Juan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.58 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.04 | 4.04 | 0.00 |
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San Juan Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November San Juan Basin is traded for 4.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. San is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on San Juan is about 2047.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.08. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out San Juan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.San Juan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to San Juan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict San Juan's future price movements. Getting to know how San Juan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how San Juan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBR | Sabine Royalty Trust | 0.38 | 5 per month | 0.90 | (0.09) | 1.44 | (1.41) | 5.27 | |
| PBT | Permian Basin Royalty | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.13 | 4.64 | (4.38) | 12.21 | |
| CRT | Cross Timbers Royalty | 0.16 | 2 per month | 1.71 | 0.01 | 4.27 | (3.11) | 13.90 | |
| MTR | Mesa Royalty Trust | 0.05 | 27 per month | 1.80 | 0.02 | 3.87 | (3.39) | 13.35 | |
| BPT | BP Prudhoe Bay | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.67 | (8.03) | 28.87 |
San Juan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine San price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for San using various technical indicators. When you analyze San charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About San Juan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of San Juan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as San Juan Basin, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of San Juan based on analysis of San Juan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to San Juan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to San Juan's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0672 | 0.0678 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.43 | 4.21 |
Story Coverage note for San Juan
The number of cover stories for San Juan depends on current market conditions and San Juan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that San Juan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about San Juan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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San Juan Short Properties
San Juan's future price predictability will typically decrease when San Juan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of San Juan Basin often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential San Juan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. San Juan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 M |
Additional Tools for San Stock Analysis
When running San Juan's price analysis, check to measure San Juan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy San Juan is operating at the current time. Most of San Juan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of San Juan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move San Juan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of San Juan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.