Similarweb Stock Price Patterns

SMWB Stock  USD 5.21  0.09  1.70%   
The relative strength indicator of SimilarWeb's share price is below 30 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SimilarWeb, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 27

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SimilarWeb's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SimilarWeb, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SimilarWeb's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0366
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0759
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.202
Wall Street Target Price
11.8125
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.0174
Using SimilarWeb hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SimilarWeb from the perspective of SimilarWeb response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SimilarWeb using SimilarWeb's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SimilarWeb using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SimilarWeb's stock price.

SimilarWeb Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in SimilarWeb's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SimilarWeb. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SimilarWeb stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
8.0308
Short Percent
0.0123
Short Ratio
1.6
Shares Short Prior Month
569.7 K
50 Day MA
6.9862

SimilarWeb Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SimilarWeb's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SimilarWeb. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SimilarWeb can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SimilarWeb. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SimilarWeb's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SimilarWeb.

SimilarWeb Implied Volatility

    
  1.05  
SimilarWeb's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SimilarWeb stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SimilarWeb's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SimilarWeb stock will not fluctuate a lot when SimilarWeb's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SimilarWeb to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SimilarWeb because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SimilarWeb after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SimilarWeb contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SimilarWeb will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With SimilarWeb trading at USD 5.21, that is roughly USD 0.003419 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SimilarWeb's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SimilarWeb options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out SimilarWeb Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SimilarWeb Stock refer to our How to Trade SimilarWeb Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SimilarWeb's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.045.108.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.924.988.04
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.7511.8113.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.050.09
Details

SimilarWeb After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SimilarWeb at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SimilarWeb or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SimilarWeb, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SimilarWeb Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SimilarWeb's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SimilarWeb's historical news coverage. SimilarWeb's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.15 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered SimilarWeb's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.21
5.21
After-hype Price
8.27
Upside
SimilarWeb is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SimilarWeb is based on 3 months time horizon.

SimilarWeb Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SimilarWeb is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SimilarWeb backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SimilarWeb, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.71 
3.03
  0.34 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.21
5.21
0.00 
631.25  
Notes

SimilarWeb Hype Timeline

SimilarWeb is at this time traded for 5.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. SimilarWeb is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.71%. %. The volatility of related hype on SimilarWeb is about 3787.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.15. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.35. SimilarWeb had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out SimilarWeb Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SimilarWeb Stock refer to our How to Trade SimilarWeb Stock guide.

SimilarWeb Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SimilarWeb's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SimilarWeb's future price movements. Getting to know how SimilarWeb's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SimilarWeb may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NXDRNXDR(0.02)10 per month 3.73  0.01  8.06 (5.73) 40.31 
ATHMAutohome(0.73)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.84 (3.43) 7.71 
GETYGetty Images Holdings 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.22) 5.51 (6.63) 18.86 
NNNextnav Acquisition Corp 0.96 8 per month 4.29  0.05  6.53 (6.11) 30.05 
SSTKShutterstock 0.54 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.72 (4.09) 11.66 
EVEREverQuote Class A(0.88)8 per month 2.14  0.06  4.31 (3.84) 14.16 
FVRRFiverr International(0.28)9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 3.22 (4.82) 11.60 
GRPNGroupon(0.88)4 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.05 (6.87) 18.61 
ANGIANGI Homeservices(0.11)4 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.29 (4.24) 18.99 
SIFYSify Technologies Limited 0.58 8 per month 4.59  0.08  8.16 (6.17) 27.94 

SimilarWeb Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SimilarWeb price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SimilarWeb using various technical indicators. When you analyze SimilarWeb charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SimilarWeb Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SimilarWeb stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SimilarWeb, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SimilarWeb based on analysis of SimilarWeb hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SimilarWeb's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SimilarWeb's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover5.085.85
Days Of Inventory On Hand1.331.18

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Complementary Tools for SimilarWeb Stock analysis

When running SimilarWeb's price analysis, check to measure SimilarWeb's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SimilarWeb is operating at the current time. Most of SimilarWeb's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SimilarWeb's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SimilarWeb's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SimilarWeb to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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