Southern Michigan Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| SOMC Stock | USD 18.75 0.10 0.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
81
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern Michigan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Michigan Bancorp from the perspective of Southern Michigan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Southern Michigan to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Southern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Southern Michigan after-hype prediction price | USD 18.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern Michigan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Michigan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Michigan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern Michigan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Michigan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Michigan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Michigan's historical news coverage. Southern Michigan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.78 and 19.72, respectively. We have considered Southern Michigan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Michigan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Michigan Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Michigan Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Michigan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Michigan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Michigan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.97 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.75 | 18.75 | 0.00 |
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Southern Michigan Hype Timeline
Southern Michigan Bancorp is at this time traded for 18.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Southern is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 9.35%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Michigan is about 2852.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.75. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Southern Michigan Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of May 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Southern Michigan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Southern Michigan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Michigan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Michigan's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Michigan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Michigan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IHTA | Invesco High Income | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.25 | (0.18) | 0.68 | (0.27) | 2.03 | |
| MHN | Blackrock Muniholdings Ny | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.63 | (0.19) | 0.75 | (1.03) | 2.69 | |
| NXC | Nuveen California Select | (0.08) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.94 | (0.94) | 2.82 | |
| CXH | MFS Investment Grade | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.42 | (0.27) | 0.62 | (0.74) | 2.10 | |
| FMN | Federated Premier Municipal | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.07 | (1.49) | 5.10 |
Southern Michigan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Southern Michigan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Southern Michigan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Southern Michigan Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Southern Michigan based on analysis of Southern Michigan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Southern Michigan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Southern Michigan's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Southern Michigan
The number of cover stories for Southern Michigan depends on current market conditions and Southern Michigan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Michigan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Michigan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Southern Michigan Short Properties
Southern Michigan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern Michigan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern Michigan Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern Michigan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Michigan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 2.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.52 | |
| Shares Float | 3 M |
Complementary Tools for Southern Pink Sheet analysis
When running Southern Michigan's price analysis, check to measure Southern Michigan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southern Michigan is operating at the current time. Most of Southern Michigan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southern Michigan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southern Michigan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southern Michigan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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