Sonos Inc Stock Price Prediction
| SONO Stock | USD 13.79 0.24 1.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5133 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.585 | Wall Street Target Price 15.8 |
Using Sonos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sonos Inc from the perspective of Sonos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sonos using Sonos' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sonos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sonos' stock price.
Sonos Short Interest
An investor who is long Sonos may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sonos and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sonos with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.0623 | Short Percent 0.0688 | Short Ratio 3.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.3 M | 50 Day MA 14.2246 |
Sonos Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sonos' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sonos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sonos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sonos Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sonos' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sonos.
Sonos Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Sonos' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sonos Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sonos' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sonos stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sonos' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sonos to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sonos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sonos after-hype prediction price | USD 14.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sonos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sonos Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Sonos trading at USD 13.79, that is roughly USD 0.008102 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sonos' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sonos Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sonos |
Sonos After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sonos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sonos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sonos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sonos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sonos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sonos' historical news coverage. Sonos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.12 and 16.40, respectively. We have considered Sonos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sonos is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sonos Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sonos Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sonos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sonos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sonos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.15 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.79 | 14.26 | 0.14 |
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Sonos Hype Timeline
Sonos Inc is at this time traded for 13.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Sonos is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Sonos is about 16125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.79. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (38.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 689.37 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Sonos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sonos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sonos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sonos' future price movements. Getting to know how Sonos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sonos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LPL | LG Display Co | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.43 | (2.70) | 10.87 | |
| ZEPP | Zepp Health Corp | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.38 | (6.40) | 24.98 | |
| VOXX | VOXX International | (0.11) | 5 per month | 2.78 | (0.03) | 3.94 | (6.18) | 22.88 | |
| SSNLF | Samsung Electronics Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SONY | Sony Group Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.14 | 3.12 | (2.53) | 12.94 | |
| GPRO | GoPro Inc | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.19 | (6.25) | 26.69 |
Sonos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sonos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sonos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sonos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sonos Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sonos stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sonos Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sonos based on analysis of Sonos hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sonos's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sonos's related companies. | 2010 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 21.08 | 10.7 | 14.9 | 21.05 | PTB Ratio | 3.17 | 3.49 | 3.18 | 3.02 |
Story Coverage note for Sonos
The number of cover stories for Sonos depends on current market conditions and Sonos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sonos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sonos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sonos Short Properties
Sonos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sonos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sonos Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sonos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sonos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.2 M |
Check out Sonos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Consumer Electronics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sonos. If investors know Sonos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sonos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | Earnings Share (0.31) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sonos Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sonos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sonos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sonos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sonos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sonos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sonos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sonos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sonos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.