Supercom Stock Price Prediction

SPCB Stock  USD 10.05  0.16  1.62%   
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Supercom's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Supercom's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Supercom, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Supercom's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.055
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.235
EPS Estimate Next Year
1
Wall Street Target Price
15
Using Supercom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Supercom from the perspective of Supercom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Supercom to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Supercom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Supercom after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Supercom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Supercom Stock refer to our How to Trade Supercom Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Supercom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.5711.6915.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.0311.1615.28
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.500.560.62
Details

Supercom After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Supercom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Supercom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Supercom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Supercom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Supercom's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Supercom's historical news coverage. Supercom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.78 and 14.02, respectively. We have considered Supercom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.05
9.90
After-hype Price
14.02
Upside
Supercom is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Supercom is based on 3 months time horizon.

Supercom Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Supercom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Supercom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Supercom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
4.12
  0.01 
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.05
9.90
0.10 
2,575  
Notes

Supercom Hype Timeline

Supercom is at this time traded for 10.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Supercom is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Supercom is about 1283.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.03. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.64 M. Net Income was 661 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Supercom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Supercom Stock refer to our How to Trade Supercom Stock guide.

Supercom Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Supercom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Supercom's future price movements. Getting to know how Supercom's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Supercom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DIDIYDidi Global ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.86 (4.86) 13.51 
ZETAZeta Global Holdings(0.84)12 per month 3.68  0.03  8.32 (5.77) 28.98 
MRKMerck Company(1.60)6 per month 1.14  0.16  3.59 (1.98) 8.09 
ALAir Lease(0.08)11 per month 0.00 (0.39) 0.25 (0.17) 0.66 
RTTGFRTG Mining 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  10.67  0.00  95.83 
AGFirst Majestic Silver 0.67 11 per month 3.00  0.25  8.86 (5.18) 17.91 
NMEXNorthern Minerals Exploration 0.00 0 per month 8.71  0.10  25.00 (15.00) 83.85 
SRSNXSierra Tactical Risk 0.00 0 per month 0.44 (0.02) 0.79 (0.98) 2.35 
AAAlcoa Corp(1.36)7 per month 2.43  0.18  6.40 (4.96) 14.55 
NTDTYNTT Data Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.95  0.04  13.10 (10.42) 32.19 

Supercom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Supercom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Supercom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Supercom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Supercom Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Supercom stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Supercom, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Supercom based on analysis of Supercom hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Supercom's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Supercom's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover8.6816.2314.6115.34
Days Of Inventory On Hand55.8993.18107.15117.94

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Complementary Tools for Supercom Stock analysis

When running Supercom's price analysis, check to measure Supercom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supercom is operating at the current time. Most of Supercom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supercom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supercom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supercom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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