Sphere Entertainment Co Stock Price Prediction
| SPHR Stock | 96.38 2.07 2.19% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.58) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.43) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.52) | Wall Street Target Price 105.9091 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.88) |
Using Sphere Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sphere Entertainment Co from the perspective of Sphere Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sphere Entertainment using Sphere Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sphere using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sphere Entertainment's stock price.
Sphere Entertainment Short Interest
An investor who is long Sphere Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sphere Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sphere Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 56.712 | Short Percent 0.3172 | Short Ratio 9.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 88.431 |
Sphere Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sphere Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sphere. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sphere can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sphere Entertainment Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sphere Entertainment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sphere Entertainment.
Sphere Entertainment Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
Sphere Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sphere Entertainment Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sphere Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sphere Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sphere Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sphere Entertainment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sphere because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sphere Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 96.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sphere contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sphere Entertainment Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sphere Entertainment trading at USD 96.38, that is roughly USD 0.0343 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sphere Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sphere Entertainment Co options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Sphere Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sphere Entertainment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sphere Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sphere Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sphere Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sphere Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sphere Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sphere Entertainment's historical news coverage. Sphere Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.96 and 98.78, respectively. We have considered Sphere Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sphere Entertainment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sphere Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sphere Entertainment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sphere Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sphere Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sphere Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 2.41 | 2.06 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
96.38 | 96.37 | 2.18 |
|
Sphere Entertainment Hype Timeline
Sphere Entertainment is at this time traded for 96.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Sphere is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 96.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 64.27%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.18%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Sphere Entertainment is about 15492.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 96.39. Sphere Entertainment Co currently holds 1.52 B in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Sphere Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sphere Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sphere Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sphere Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Sphere Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sphere Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSGE | Madison Square Garden | 0.74 | 11 per month | 1.21 | 0.19 | 3.87 | (2.23) | 9.61 | |
| IQ | iQIYI Inc | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.69 | (3.40) | 10.91 | |
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | 0.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.58 | (3.41) | 11.18 | |
| CCOI | Cogent Communications Group | (1.00) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.76 | (9.80) | 37.60 | |
| LION | Lionsgate Studios Holding | 0.02 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.23 | 4.84 | (2.58) | 11.61 | |
| BATRA | Atlanta Braves Holdings | (0.37) | 8 per month | 0.85 | (0.06) | 1.15 | (1.56) | 3.94 | |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 5.49 | (5.70) | 20.04 | |
| IHS | IHS Holding | (0.09) | 7 per month | 2.32 | 0.08 | 3.35 | (3.94) | 12.66 | |
| IAC | IAC Inc | 0.54 | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.08 | 2.49 | (2.35) | 6.38 |
Sphere Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sphere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sphere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sphere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sphere Entertainment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sphere Entertainment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sphere Entertainment Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sphere Entertainment based on analysis of Sphere Entertainment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sphere Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sphere Entertainment's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.13 | 0.0994 | 0.0895 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.65 | 1.19 | 1.27 |
Pair Trading with Sphere Entertainment
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sphere Entertainment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sphere Entertainment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Sphere Stock
| 0.88 | TME | Tencent Music Entert | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | 600715 | Cultural Investment | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | HOFV | Hall of Fame | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | GAME | GameSquare Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | ESE | ESE Entertainment | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | QYOU | Qyou Media Split | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Sphere Entertainment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Sphere Entertainment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Sphere Entertainment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Sphere Entertainment Co to buy it.
The correlation of Sphere Entertainment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Sphere Entertainment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Sphere Entertainment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Sphere Entertainment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Sphere Stock Analysis
When running Sphere Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Sphere Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sphere Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Sphere Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sphere Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sphere Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sphere Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.