Spok Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| SPOK Stock | USD 16.05 0.09 0.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
78
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | Wall Street Target Price 15 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.18 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Spok Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spok Holdings from the perspective of Spok Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spok Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spok because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spok Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 16.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spok |
Spok Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spok Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spok Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spok Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spok Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spok Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spok Holdings' historical news coverage. Spok Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.68 and 17.40, respectively. We have considered Spok Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spok Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spok Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spok Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spok Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spok Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spok Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.36 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.05 | 16.04 | 0.06 |
|
Spok Holdings Hype Timeline
Spok Holdings is at this time traded for 16.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Spok is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Spok Holdings is about 88400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.05. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Spok Holdings was at this time reported as 7.71. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Spok Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spok Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spok Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spok Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Spok Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spok Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FORA | Forian Inc | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.67 | (2.38) | 12.38 | |
| STRM | Streamline Health Solutions | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 19.40 | (14.33) | 55.52 | |
| NRC | National Research Corp | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.51 | (4.72) | 13.17 | |
| HQY | HealthEquity | 0.18 | 13 per month | 1.40 | 0.19 | 3.46 | (2.12) | 15.16 | |
| NXGN | Nextgen Healthcare | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.81 | (2.35) | 7.28 | |
| DH | Definitive Healthcare Corp | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.42 | (0.04) | 4.37 | (4.00) | 13.20 | |
| EVH | Evolent Health | (1.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.09 | (5.92) | 59.78 | |
| SLP | Simulations Plus | (0.46) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.04 | (4.36) | 14.42 | |
| PRVA | Privia Health Group | 1.41 | 9 per month | 2.14 | 0.02 | 4.30 | (3.55) | 15.04 | |
| RNLX | Renalytix AI | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.14 | (9.52) | 34.92 | |
| PGNY | Progyny | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.22 | (3.12) | 38.70 | |
| RCM | R1 RCM Inc | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.54) | 0.29 | (0.21) | 0.64 | |
| CPSI | CPSI Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.85 | (3.01) | 14.25 |
Spok Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spok price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spok using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spok charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Spok Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spok Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spok Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spok Holdings based on analysis of Spok Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spok Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spok Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0554 | 0.16 | 0.083 | 0.0936 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.27 | 1.2 | 2.22 | 2.33 |
Story Coverage note for Spok Holdings
The number of cover stories for Spok Holdings depends on current market conditions and Spok Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spok Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spok Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Spok Holdings Short Properties
Spok Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Spok Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spok Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spok Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spok Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32 M |
Check out Spok Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Spok Stock please use our How to buy in Spok Stock guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spok Holdings. If investors know Spok will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Spok Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 1.25 | Earnings Share 0.71 | Revenue Per Share 6.828 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Spok Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spok that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spok Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spok Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spok Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spok Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spok Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spok Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spok Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.