Sunlands Technology Group Stock Price Prediction
| STG Stock | USD 6.51 0.09 1.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Wall Street Target Price 1.03 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Sunlands Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunlands Technology Group from the perspective of Sunlands Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunlands Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunlands because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sunlands Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 6.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sunlands |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunlands Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sunlands Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sunlands Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunlands Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunlands Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sunlands Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sunlands Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunlands Technology's historical news coverage. Sunlands Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.33 and 15.17, respectively. We have considered Sunlands Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sunlands Technology is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunlands Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sunlands Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunlands Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunlands Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunlands Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 8.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.51 | 6.51 | 0.00 |
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Sunlands Technology Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Sunlands Technology is traded for 6.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sunlands is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sunlands Technology is about 86600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.51. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.18. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sunlands Technology last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2022. The entity had 8:100 split on the 31st of August 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Sunlands Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sunlands Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sunlands Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunlands Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunlands Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunlands Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APEI | American Public Education | 0.35 | 8 per month | 2.19 | 0.12 | 6.03 | (3.55) | 21.66 | |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services | 0.20 | 8 per month | 1.86 | 0.13 | 3.65 | (4.04) | 14.22 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | (0.52) | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.09 | 2.81 | (2.83) | 15.11 |
Sunlands Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sunlands price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunlands using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunlands charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sunlands Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sunlands Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunlands Technology Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunlands Technology based on analysis of Sunlands Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunlands Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunlands Technology's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0314 | 0.0219 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.46 | 0.44 |
Story Coverage note for Sunlands Technology
The number of cover stories for Sunlands Technology depends on current market conditions and Sunlands Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunlands Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunlands Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sunlands Technology Short Properties
Sunlands Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunlands Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunlands Technology Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunlands Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunlands Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 905.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Sunlands Stock analysis
When running Sunlands Technology's price analysis, check to measure Sunlands Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunlands Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Sunlands Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunlands Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunlands Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunlands Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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