Star Holdings Stock Price Prediction

STHO Stock   11.21  0.03  0.27%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Star Holdings' share price is approaching 35. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Star Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

35

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Star Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Star Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Star Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
Using Star Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Star Holdings from the perspective of Star Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Star Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Star because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Star Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Star Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Star Stock, please use our How to Invest in Star Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6310.0811.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.3110.7612.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Star Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Star Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Star Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Star Holdings.

Star Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Star Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Star Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Star Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Star Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Star Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Star Holdings' historical news coverage. Star Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.76 and 12.66, respectively. We have considered Star Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.21
11.21
After-hype Price
12.66
Upside
Star Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Star Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Star Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Star Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Star Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Star Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.45
  0.13 
  0.37 
3 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.21
11.21
0.00 
337.21  
Notes

Star Holdings Hype Timeline

Star Holdings is at this time traded for 11.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.37. Star is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Star Holdings is about 116.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.84. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Star Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Star Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Star Stock, please use our How to Invest in Star Holdings guide.

Star Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Star Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Star Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Star Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Star Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ORGNOrigin Materials(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 8.70 (7.10) 26.74 
IPXXUInflection Point Acquisition 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.92) 0.28 (0.19) 0.65 
JJacobs Solutions(7.90)9 per month 1.64  0.03  2.41 (1.97) 9.97 
EMNEastman Chemical(1.06)10 per month 1.27 (0.01) 2.78 (2.02) 7.31 
ALDFUAldel Financial II(0.03)3 per month 0.03 (0.99) 0.20 (0.10) 0.40 
MOSThe Mosaic(1.73)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.43 (3.92) 13.10 
NLNL Industries 0.28 4 per month 2.88  0.09  4.35 (5.52) 16.96 
HWKNHawkins 0.55 10 per month 2.51 (0.01) 3.27 (3.65) 12.56 

Star Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Star price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Star using various technical indicators. When you analyze Star charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Star Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Star Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Star Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Star Holdings based on analysis of Star Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Star Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Star Holdings's related companies.
 2010 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding343.572.762.62
PTB Ratio0.270.480.3

Story Coverage note for Star Holdings

The number of cover stories for Star Holdings depends on current market conditions and Star Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Star Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Star Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Star Holdings Short Properties

Star Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Star Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Star Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Star Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments50.7 M
When determining whether Star Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Star Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Star Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Star Holdings Stock:
Check out Star Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Star Stock, please use our How to Invest in Star Holdings guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Holdings. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Star Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
6.16
Revenue Per Share
8.84
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
0.2023
The market value of Star Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Star Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.