Swedbank Ab Stock Price Prediction

SWDBY Stock  USD 19.09  0.21  1.09%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Swedbank's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Swedbank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Swedbank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Swedbank AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Swedbank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Swedbank AB from the perspective of Swedbank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Swedbank to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Swedbank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Swedbank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Swedbank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2718.7720.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.9618.4619.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.9719.6020.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swedbank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swedbank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swedbank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swedbank AB.

Swedbank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Swedbank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Swedbank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Swedbank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Swedbank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Swedbank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Swedbank's historical news coverage. Swedbank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.59 and 20.59, respectively. We have considered Swedbank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.09
19.09
After-hype Price
20.59
Upside
Swedbank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Swedbank AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Swedbank Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Swedbank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Swedbank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Swedbank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.50
 0.00  
  0.42 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.09
19.09
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Swedbank Hype Timeline

Swedbank AB is at this time traded for 19.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.42. Swedbank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Swedbank is about 60.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.67. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.16. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Swedbank AB has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2023. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of June 1999. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Swedbank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Swedbank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Swedbank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Swedbank's future price movements. Getting to know how Swedbank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Swedbank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UOVEYUnited Overseas Bank(42.22)5 per month 0.64  0.09  2.14 (1.26) 8.73 
KBCSYKBC Groep NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.22 (2.02) 5.93 
JYSKYJyske Bank AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ISDAYIsrael Discount Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.00  0.00  10.56 
OVCHYOverseas Chinese Banking 0.00 0 per month 1.64  0.03  3.40 (3.02) 9.12 
NRDBYNordea Bank Abp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.15 (2.31) 7.68 
DBSDYDBS Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.08  1.94 (1.79) 10.29 
PPERYBank Mandiri Persero(0.12)2 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.71 (2.52) 9.06 
PBCRYBank Central Asia 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.74 (2.25) 7.04 
NDBKYNedbank Group 0.00 0 per month 1.55 (0.02) 2.69 (2.51) 6.66 
SGBLYStandard Bank Group 0.00 0 per month 1.62  0  2.99 (3.16) 8.49 
KPCPYKasikornbank Public Co 0.00 0 per month 3.26  0.02  5.29 (5.92) 15.52 
FIDSFNB Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.00  0.00  16.87 
MIFFMifflinburg Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.61  0.03  5.58 (3.96) 15.06 
CTYPCommunity Bankers 0.00 0 per month 1.52 (0) 2.25 (1.10) 19.19 
CEFCCommercial National Financial 0.00 0 per month 1.01 (0.02) 2.15 (1.10) 7.33 
APLOApollo Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.68 (1.43) 17.91 

Swedbank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Swedbank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swedbank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swedbank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Swedbank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Swedbank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Swedbank AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swedbank based on analysis of Swedbank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Swedbank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Swedbank's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Swedbank

The number of cover stories for Swedbank depends on current market conditions and Swedbank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Swedbank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Swedbank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Swedbank Short Properties

Swedbank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Swedbank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Swedbank AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Swedbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swedbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Additional Tools for Swedbank Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Swedbank's price analysis, check to measure Swedbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swedbank is operating at the current time. Most of Swedbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swedbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swedbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swedbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.