Tamboran Resources Stock Price Patterns
| TBN Stock | 28.29 1.65 5.51% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.34) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.18) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.35) | Wall Street Target Price 40.1429 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.41) |
Using Tamboran Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tamboran Resources from the perspective of Tamboran Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Tamboran Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tamboran Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tamboran. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tamboran can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tamboran Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tamboran Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tamboran Resources.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tamboran Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tamboran because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tamboran Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 27.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Tamboran Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Tamboran Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tamboran Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tamboran Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tamboran Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tamboran Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tamboran Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tamboran Resources' historical news coverage. Tamboran Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.16 and 30.56, respectively. We have considered Tamboran Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tamboran Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tamboran Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tamboran Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tamboran Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tamboran Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tamboran Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.70 | 0.43 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.29 | 27.86 | 1.52 |
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Tamboran Resources Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Tamboran Resources is traded for 28.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Tamboran is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.52%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Tamboran Resources is about 3292.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.26. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Tamboran Resources was at this time reported as 0.08. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.57. Tamboran Resources had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Tamboran Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tamboran Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tamboran Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tamboran Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Tamboran Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tamboran Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SD | SandRidge Energy | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.22 | 4.01 | (2.46) | 10.99 | |
| OBE | Obsidian Energy | 0.06 | 8 per month | 2.59 | 0.08 | 4.11 | (4.05) | 12.32 | |
| AREC | American Resources Corp | 0.01 | 9 per month | 7.42 | (0.0009) | 11.08 | (12.99) | 39.16 | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | (0.11) | 7 per month | 1.68 | 0.17 | 5.48 | (3.33) | 8.36 | |
| FTK | Flotek Industries | (1.14) | 8 per month | 3.78 | 0.03 | 8.73 | (6.77) | 24.18 | |
| WTI | WT Offshore | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.73 | (0.01) | 6.28 | (4.55) | 14.21 | |
| PUMP | ProPetro Holding Corp | (0.38) | 10 per month | 2.79 | 0.12 | 7.32 | (6.58) | 60.13 | |
| NOA | North American Construction | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.61 | (4.12) | 11.65 | |
| GFR | Greenfire Resources | (0.30) | 8 per month | 3.47 | 0.05 | 5.87 | (6.78) | 14.81 | |
| VTLE | Vital Energy | 0.76 | 8 per month | 3.23 | 0.04 | 6.39 | (5.94) | 16.09 |
Tamboran Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tamboran price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tamboran using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tamboran charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tamboran Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tamboran Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tamboran Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tamboran Resources based on analysis of Tamboran Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tamboran Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tamboran Resources's related companies.
Pair Trading with Tamboran Resources
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Tamboran Resources position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tamboran Resources will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Tamboran Stock
| 0.72 | EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | SU | Suncor Energy Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
Moving against Tamboran Stock
| 0.78 | 0P3O | Alerion Clean Power | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | 0I8C | Aqua Bio Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | 0HC8 | Roularta Media Group | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | ENS | E Split Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | 0IVB | Innelec Multimedia | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Tamboran Resources could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Tamboran Resources when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Tamboran Resources - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Tamboran Resources to buy it.
The correlation of Tamboran Resources is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Tamboran Resources moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Tamboran Resources moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Tamboran Resources can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Tamboran Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Tamboran Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tamboran Resources guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Tamboran diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tamboran Resources. If investors know Tamboran will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Tamboran Resources data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Tamboran Resources's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Tamboran's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Tamboran Resources' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Tamboran Resources' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tamboran Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tamboran Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tamboran Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.