Teck Resources Ltd Stock Price Prediction
| TECK Stock | USD 46.81 0.40 0.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5688 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4616 | Wall Street Target Price 67.254 |
Using Teck Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teck Resources Ltd from the perspective of Teck Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Teck Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Teck Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Teck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Teck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Teck Resources Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Teck Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Teck Resources.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Teck Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Teck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Teck Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 47.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Teck |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teck Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teck Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Teck Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teck Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teck Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Teck Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Teck Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teck Resources' historical news coverage. Teck Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.85 and 49.57, respectively. We have considered Teck Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Teck Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teck Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Teck Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teck Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teck Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teck Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.36 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
46.81 | 47.21 | 0.00 |
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Teck Resources Hype Timeline
Teck Resources is at this time traded for 46.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Teck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teck Resources is about 2165.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.81. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Teck Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 11th of May 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Teck Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Teck Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Teck Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teck Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Teck Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teck Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RIO | Rio Tinto ADR | (0.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.28 | (2.84) | 9.06 | |
| VALE | Vale SA ADR | 0.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.72 | (3.49) | 11.97 | |
| MP | MP Materials Corp | (0.30) | 10 per month | 2.13 | 0.15 | 7.34 | (4.00) | 17.15 | |
| LAC | Lithium Americas Corp | (0.03) | 10 per month | 4.10 | 0.10 | 11.11 | (7.35) | 32.09 | |
| GLCNF | Glencore PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.61 | (4.00) | 10.53 | |
| NGLOY | Anglo American PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | (0.02) | 4.54 | (4.62) | 12.91 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.24 | (3.01) | 9.94 | |
| PLL | Piedmont Lithium Ltd | (0.63) | 10 per month | 5.62 | 0.1 | 15.69 | (9.30) | 34.61 | |
| SGML | Sigma Lithium Resources | 0.20 | 10 per month | 3.16 | 0.09 | 7.65 | (5.20) | 21.69 | |
| SLI | Standard Lithium | (0.13) | 8 per month | 5.19 | 0.09 | 14.53 | (8.93) | 35.90 |
Teck Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Teck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Teck Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Teck Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Teck Resources Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Teck Resources based on analysis of Teck Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Teck Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Teck Resources's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005466 | 0.0197 | 0.0177 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.44 | 1.56 | 1.94 |
Story Coverage note for Teck Resources
The number of cover stories for Teck Resources depends on current market conditions and Teck Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teck Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teck Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Teck Resources Short Properties
Teck Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Teck Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teck Resources Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teck Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teck Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 525.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 744 M |
Check out Teck Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teck Resources. If investors know Teck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teck Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 2.08 | Revenue Per Share 32.13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.437 |
The market value of Teck Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teck Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teck Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teck Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teck Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teck Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teck Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teck Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.