James Hardie Industries Stock Price Prediction
| JHX Stock | USD 34.93 0.45 1.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6 | Wall Street Target Price 31.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using James Hardie hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of James Hardie Industries from the perspective of James Hardie response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in James Hardie to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying James because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
James Hardie after-hype prediction price | USD 35.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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James Hardie After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of James Hardie at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in James Hardie or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of James Hardie, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
James Hardie Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting James Hardie's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on James Hardie's historical news coverage. James Hardie's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.78 and 37.96, respectively. We have considered James Hardie's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
James Hardie is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of James Hardie Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
James Hardie Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as James Hardie is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading James Hardie backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with James Hardie, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.93 | 35.37 | 0.03 |
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James Hardie Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November James Hardie Industries is traded for 34.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. James is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on James Hardie is about 2775.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.93. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.53. James Hardie Industries last dividend was issued on the 26th of May 2022. The entity had 5:1 split on the 22nd of September 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out James Hardie Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.James Hardie Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to James Hardie's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict James Hardie's future price movements. Getting to know how James Hardie's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how James Hardie may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LOMA | Loma Negra Compania | 0.18 | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.27 | 4.43 | (3.10) | 10.28 | |
| SUM | Summit Materials | 0.66 | 10 per month | 1.79 | 0.12 | 4.05 | (2.73) | 9.88 | |
| USLM | United States Lime | 5.70 | 8 per month | 1.45 | 0.28 | 5.56 | (3.18) | 16.29 | |
| EXP | Eagle Materials | (0.92) | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.11 | 3.13 | (2.12) | 9.50 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | (0.02) | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.1 | 2.85 | (2.49) | 8.56 | |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | (1.52) | 9 per month | 1.19 | 0.06 | 2.79 | (2.39) | 8.27 | |
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | (4.29) | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.03 | 2.71 | (2.61) | 8.83 | |
| CX | Cemex SAB de | (0.07) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.31 | (3.96) | 13.18 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | (0.56) | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.12 | 2.72 | (2.08) | 6.07 |
James Hardie Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine James price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for James using various technical indicators. When you analyze James charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About James Hardie Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of James Hardie stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as James Hardie Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of James Hardie based on analysis of James Hardie hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to James Hardie's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to James Hardie's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0121 | 0.0214 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.47 | 4.69 |
Story Coverage note for James Hardie
The number of cover stories for James Hardie depends on current market conditions and James Hardie's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that James Hardie is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about James Hardie's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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James Hardie Short Properties
James Hardie's future price predictability will typically decrease when James Hardie's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of James Hardie Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential James Hardie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. James Hardie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 439.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 365 M |
Additional Tools for James Stock Analysis
When running James Hardie's price analysis, check to measure James Hardie's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy James Hardie is operating at the current time. Most of James Hardie's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of James Hardie's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move James Hardie's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of James Hardie to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.