Telefnica Sa Stock Price Patterns

TEFOF Stock  USD 4.08  0.26  5.99%   
As of 19th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Telefónica's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telefónica, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Telefónica's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Telefónica and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Telefónica's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Telefnica SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Telefónica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telefnica SA from the perspective of Telefónica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Telefónica to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Telefónica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Telefónica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Telefónica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.487.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.084.158.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.614.417.20
Details

Telefónica After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Telefónica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telefónica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Telefónica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Telefónica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Telefónica's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telefónica's historical news coverage. Telefónica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 8.48, respectively. We have considered Telefónica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.08
4.08
After-hype Price
8.48
Upside
Telefónica is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telefnica SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Telefónica Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telefónica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telefónica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telefónica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
4.40
 0.00  
  0.27 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.08
4.08
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Telefónica Hype Timeline

Telefnica SA is at this time traded for 4.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.27. Telefónica is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Telefónica is about 48.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.81. About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Telefnica SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2022. The firm had 1028:1000 split on the 19th of November 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Telefónica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Telefónica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Telefónica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telefónica's future price movements. Getting to know how Telefónica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telefónica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VODPFVodafone Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 5.16  0.07  12.00 (11.72) 29.87 
AVIFYAdvanced Info Service 0.00 0 per month 5.22  0.07  15.44 (9.72) 33.13 
BTGOFBT Group plc 0.00 0 per month 2.59  0.09  4.91 (5.13) 16.48 
TELNFTelenor ASA 0.00 0 per month 2.00  0.17  7.38 (5.74) 31.87 
RCIAFRogers Communications 0.00 0 per month 1.01  0.01  2.25 (1.69) 11.72 
TTRAFTelstra Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00  0.00  6.56 
TELNYTelenor ASA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.20  2.63 (1.26) 10.92 
CHWRFChina Tower 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  21.14 
TLKMFTelkom Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  10.00 (4.35) 27.33 
PGPEFPublicis Groupe SA(90.71)1 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.46 (4.88) 15.89 

Telefónica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Telefónica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telefónica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telefónica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Telefónica Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Telefónica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Telefnica SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telefónica based on analysis of Telefónica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Telefónica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Telefónica's related companies.

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When running Telefónica's price analysis, check to measure Telefónica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telefónica is operating at the current time. Most of Telefónica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telefónica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telefónica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telefónica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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