Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock Price Patterns

TLK Stock  USD 20.85  0.34  1.66%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Telkom Indonesia's stock price is about 61. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telkom, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Telkom Indonesia's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Telkom Indonesia Tbk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Telkom Indonesia's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.347
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5357
Wall Street Target Price
24.0964
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Telkom Indonesia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk from the perspective of Telkom Indonesia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Telkom Indonesia Tbk Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Telkom Indonesia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Telkom. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Telkom can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Telkom Indonesia Tbk. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Telkom Indonesia's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Telkom Indonesia.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Telkom Indonesia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Telkom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Telkom Indonesia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Telkom Indonesia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1719.4921.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7321.0523.38
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.9324.1026.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.380.38
Details

Telkom Indonesia After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Telkom Indonesia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telkom Indonesia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telkom Indonesia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Telkom Indonesia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Telkom Indonesia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telkom Indonesia's historical news coverage. Telkom Indonesia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.53 and 23.17, respectively. We have considered Telkom Indonesia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.85
20.85
After-hype Price
23.17
Upside
Telkom Indonesia is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telkom Indonesia Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.

Telkom Indonesia Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telkom Indonesia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telkom Indonesia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telkom Indonesia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
2.31
 0.00  
  0.33 
6 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.85
20.85
0.00 
4,620  
Notes

Telkom Indonesia Hype Timeline

On the 30th of January Telkom Indonesia Tbk is traded for 20.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.33. Telkom is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Telkom Indonesia is about 56.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.52. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 1384.4. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of June 2025. Telkom Indonesia Tbk had 2:1 split on the 26th of October 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Telkom Indonesia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Telkom Indonesia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Telkom Indonesia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telkom Indonesia's future price movements. Getting to know how Telkom Indonesia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telkom Indonesia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VIVTelefonica Brasil SA(6.77)6 per month 2.16  0.08  3.13 (2.90) 11.53 
RCIRogers Communications 0.09 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.67 (1.85) 4.03 
TUTelus Corp(6.08)22 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.72 (1.87) 6.20 
BCEBCE Inc(0.76)28 per month 0.92  0.06  1.98 (1.60) 6.21 
KTKT Corporation(6.77)3 per month 0.76  0.14  1.82 (1.43) 4.22 
TIMBTIM Participacoes SA(6.77)6 per month 1.88  0.05  3.06 (2.72) 8.26 
PINSPinterest(0.66)7 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.80 (4.13) 25.49 
VODVodafone Group PLC(6.77)3 per month 1.42  0.18  2.83 (2.73) 11.03 
TEFTelefonica SA ADR(6.08)11 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.81 (2.80) 14.46 
LUMNLumen Technologies(0.12)8 per month 4.64  0.04  9.64 (7.57) 27.52 

Telkom Indonesia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Telkom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telkom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telkom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Telkom Indonesia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Telkom Indonesia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Telkom Indonesia Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telkom Indonesia based on analysis of Telkom Indonesia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Telkom Indonesia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Telkom Indonesia's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0420.06590.05930.0622
Price To Sales Ratio2.651.792.061.96

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When determining whether Telkom Indonesia Tbk is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Telkom Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock:
Check out Telkom Indonesia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telkom Indonesia. If investors know Telkom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Telkom Indonesia assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Earnings Share
1.31
Revenue Per Share
74.4 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0831
The market value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telkom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telkom Indonesia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telkom Indonesia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telkom Indonesia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telkom Indonesia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telkom Indonesia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telkom Indonesia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Telkom Indonesia's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.