Tpg Re Finance Stock Price Prediction
| TRTX Stock | USD 9.03 0.15 1.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.395 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.104 | Wall Street Target Price 9.9167 |
Using TPG RE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TPG RE Finance from the perspective of TPG RE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TPG RE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TPG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TPG RE after-hype prediction price | USD 9.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TPG |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TPG RE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TPG RE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TPG RE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TPG RE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TPG RE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TPG RE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TPG RE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TPG RE's historical news coverage. TPG RE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.40 and 10.64, respectively. We have considered TPG RE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TPG RE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TPG RE Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.
TPG RE Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TPG RE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TPG RE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TPG RE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.64 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.03 | 9.02 | 0.11 |
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TPG RE Hype Timeline
TPG RE Finance is at this time traded for 9.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. TPG is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on TPG RE is about 2766.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.03. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.64. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TPG RE Finance has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out TPG RE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TPG RE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TPG RE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TPG RE's future price movements. Getting to know how TPG RE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TPG RE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
TPG RE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TPG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TPG using various technical indicators. When you analyze TPG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About TPG RE Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TPG RE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TPG RE Finance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TPG RE based on analysis of TPG RE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TPG RE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TPG RE's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.68 | 0.39 | Dividend Yield | 0.079 | 0.18 |
Story Coverage note for TPG RE
The number of cover stories for TPG RE depends on current market conditions and TPG RE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TPG RE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TPG RE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TPG RE Short Properties
TPG RE's future price predictability will typically decrease when TPG RE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TPG RE Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TPG RE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPG RE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 206.4 M |
Additional Tools for TPG Stock Analysis
When running TPG RE's price analysis, check to measure TPG RE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPG RE is operating at the current time. Most of TPG RE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPG RE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPG RE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPG RE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.