Texas Roadhouse Stock Price Prediction

TXRH Stock  USD 194.68  2.12  1.10%   
The relative strength indicator of Texas Roadhouse's the stock price is under 67. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Texas, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Texas Roadhouse's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Texas Roadhouse, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Texas Roadhouse's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.326
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.56
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.3753
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.1428
Wall Street Target Price
195.2265
Using Texas Roadhouse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Texas Roadhouse from the perspective of Texas Roadhouse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Texas Roadhouse Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Texas Roadhouse's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Texas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Texas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Texas Roadhouse. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Texas Roadhouse's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Texas Roadhouse.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Texas Roadhouse to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Texas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Texas Roadhouse after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 191.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Texas Roadhouse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Texas Stock please use our How to Invest in Texas Roadhouse guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
157.38158.99211.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
183.28184.89186.50
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
106.43116.96129.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.551.641.65
Details

Texas Roadhouse After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Texas Roadhouse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Texas Roadhouse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Texas Roadhouse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Texas Roadhouse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Texas Roadhouse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Texas Roadhouse's historical news coverage. Texas Roadhouse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 189.91 and 193.13, respectively. We have considered Texas Roadhouse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
194.68
189.91
Downside
191.52
After-hype Price
193.13
Upside
Texas Roadhouse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Texas Roadhouse is based on 3 months time horizon.

Texas Roadhouse Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Texas Roadhouse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Texas Roadhouse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Texas Roadhouse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.61
  1.04 
  0.15 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
194.68
191.52
0.54 
35.70  
Notes

Texas Roadhouse Hype Timeline

Texas Roadhouse is at this time traded for 194.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Texas is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 191.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 35.7%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Texas Roadhouse is about 249.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 194.53. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.78. Texas Roadhouse recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.82. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of September 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Texas Roadhouse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Texas Stock please use our How to Invest in Texas Roadhouse guide.

Texas Roadhouse Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Texas Roadhouse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Texas Roadhouse's future price movements. Getting to know how Texas Roadhouse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Texas Roadhouse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill(0.64)7 per month 2.04  0.04  2.69 (2.68) 10.78 
EHGOEshallgo Class A 0.09 1 per month 4.97  0.17  14.29 (8.22) 46.99 
ASYSAmtech Systems(0.14)7 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.76 (4.33) 10.29 
GFIGold Fields Ltd(0.46)12 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.52 (5.41) 14.93 
AGZNFAegean Airlines SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.00  0.00  10.55 
LPGDorian LPG 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.29) 2.97 (4.58) 9.93 
MRKMerck Company(1.61)7 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.73 (2.13) 4.89 
FORMFormFactor(0.44)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.53 (5.08) 19.85 
CNKCinemark Holdings 0.08 12 per month 1.24  0.09  3.60 (2.45) 7.52 
MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals(3.37)10 per month 2.17  0.08  4.92 (3.96) 30.27 

Texas Roadhouse Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Texas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Texas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Texas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Texas Roadhouse Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Texas Roadhouse stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Texas Roadhouse, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Texas Roadhouse based on analysis of Texas Roadhouse hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Texas Roadhouse's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Texas Roadhouse's related companies.
 2013 2018 2019 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02410.01790.02580.0271
Price To Sales Ratio1.371.781.442.24

Story Coverage note for Texas Roadhouse

The number of cover stories for Texas Roadhouse depends on current market conditions and Texas Roadhouse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Texas Roadhouse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Texas Roadhouse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Texas Roadhouse Short Properties

Texas Roadhouse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Texas Roadhouse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Texas Roadhouse often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Texas Roadhouse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Texas Roadhouse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments104.2 M

Complementary Tools for Texas Stock analysis

When running Texas Roadhouse's price analysis, check to measure Texas Roadhouse's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Texas Roadhouse is operating at the current time. Most of Texas Roadhouse's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Texas Roadhouse's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Texas Roadhouse's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Texas Roadhouse to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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