Penske Automotive (Germany) Price Prediction
| UA9 Stock | EUR 157.00 1.00 0.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Penske Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penske Automotive Group from the perspective of Penske Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Penske Automotive to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Penske because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Penske Automotive after-hype prediction price | EUR 157.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Penske |
Penske Automotive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Penske Automotive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Penske Automotive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Penske Automotive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Penske Automotive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Penske Automotive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Penske Automotive's historical news coverage. Penske Automotive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 155.31 and 158.69, respectively. We have considered Penske Automotive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Penske Automotive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Penske Automotive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Penske Automotive Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Penske Automotive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penske Automotive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Penske Automotive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
157.00 | 157.00 | 0.00 |
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Penske Automotive Hype Timeline
Penske Automotive is at this time traded for 157.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Penske is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Penske Automotive is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 157.00. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Penske Automotive was at this time reported as 59.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. Penske Automotive recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be any time. Check out Penske Automotive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Penske Automotive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Penske Automotive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Penske Automotive's future price movements. Getting to know how Penske Automotive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Penske Automotive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6WW | WIMFARM SA EO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.13 | 0.01 | 7.42 | (3.90) | 40.60 | |
| GRG | Granite Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.19 | 3.00 | (1.97) | 12.49 | |
| AS7 | ANTA SPORTS PRODUCT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.05 | 7.11 | (4.61) | 30.04 | |
| D2V | PARKEN Sport Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | (0.04) | 1.68 | (2.94) | 19.66 | |
| RUZ | Universal Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.38 | (3.64) | 25.07 | |
| PO6 | Penta Ocean Construction Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.07 | (2.56) | 7.36 | |
| DFA1 | DAIRY FARM INTL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.16 | 4.43 | (1.79) | 12.91 | |
| CE3 | Chongqing Machinery Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.07 | 5.59 | (2.70) | 17.45 |
Penske Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penske price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penske using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penske charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Penske Automotive Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Penske Automotive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Penske Automotive Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penske Automotive based on analysis of Penske Automotive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Penske Automotive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Penske Automotive's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Penske Automotive
The number of cover stories for Penske Automotive depends on current market conditions and Penske Automotive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penske Automotive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penske Automotive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Penske Automotive Short Properties
Penske Automotive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Penske Automotive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penske Automotive Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penske Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penske Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Penske Stock analysis
When running Penske Automotive's price analysis, check to measure Penske Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Penske Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of Penske Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Penske Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Penske Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Penske Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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