United Community Banks, Stock Price Prediction
| UCB Stock | 34.27 1.14 3.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.55 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2386 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3229 | Wall Street Target Price 32.25 |
Using United Community hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Community Banks, from the perspective of United Community response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Community to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
United Community after-hype prediction price | USD 34.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Community After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Community at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Community or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Community, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Community's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Community's historical news coverage. United Community's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.71 and 36.59, respectively. We have considered United Community's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Community is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Community Banks, is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Community Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Community backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Community, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.44 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.27 | 34.15 | 0.35 |
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United Community Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of November United Community Banks, is traded for 34.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. United is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on United Community is about 650.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.18. About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Community Banks, last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The entity had 1:5 split on the 20th of June 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out United Community Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.United Community Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Community's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Community's future price movements. Getting to know how United Community's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Community may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.08 | 2.39 | (2.01) | 10.60 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.59 | 11 per month | 1.49 | 0.10 | 3.62 | (2.89) | 20.65 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.85 | 0.12 | 2.87 | (2.28) | 14.20 | |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | (1.34) | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.10 | 2.54 | (1.97) | 9.52 | |
| CMA | Comerica | (1.33) | 12 per month | 1.36 | 0.14 | 3.53 | (2.64) | 14.10 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group, | (0.34) | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.05 | 3.18 | (2.80) | 19.14 | |
| MTB | MT Bank | 0.82 | 11 per month | 0.83 | 0.16 | 3.41 | (1.59) | 16.03 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | (1.41) | 10 per month | 2.13 | 0.07 | 4.19 | (3.17) | 19.53 |
United Community Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About United Community Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of United Community stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Community Banks,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Community based on analysis of United Community hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Community's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Community's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0233 | 0.026 | 0.0325 | 0.0341 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.6 | 4.15 | 2.62 | 2.49 |
Story Coverage note for United Community
The number of cover stories for United Community depends on current market conditions and United Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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United Community Short Properties
United Community's future price predictability will typically decrease when United Community's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Community Banks, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis
When running United Community's price analysis, check to measure United Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Community is operating at the current time. Most of United Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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