Proshares Ultra Consumer Etf Price Patterns
| UGE Etf | USD 19.17 0.61 3.29% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ProShares Ultra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares Ultra Consumer from the perspective of ProShares Ultra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares Ultra using ProShares Ultra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares Ultra's stock price.
ProShares Ultra Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
ProShares Ultra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares Ultra Consumer stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares Ultra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares Ultra stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares Ultra's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares Ultra to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ProShares Ultra after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares Ultra Consumer will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ProShares Ultra trading at USD 19.17, that is roughly USD 0.004193 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares Ultra's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares Ultra Consumer options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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ProShares Ultra After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ProShares Ultra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares Ultra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares Ultra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ProShares Ultra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ProShares Ultra's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares Ultra's historical news coverage. ProShares Ultra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.41, respectively. We have considered ProShares Ultra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ProShares Ultra is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Ultra Consumer is based on 3 months time horizon.
ProShares Ultra Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Ultra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Ultra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Ultra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.46 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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ProShares Ultra Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January ProShares Ultra Consumer is traded for 19.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. ProShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 2246.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.15. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ProShares Ultra Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Ultra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Ultra's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Ultra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares Ultra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EZJ | ProShares Ultra MSCI | (0.39) | 2 per month | 1.75 | 0.08 | 3.27 | (3.28) | 9.12 | |
| DAT | ProShares Big Data | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.00 | (2.87) | 5.92 | |
| PWER | Macquarie ETF Trust | (0.27) | 2 per month | 0.86 | 0.19 | 2.09 | (1.99) | 4.48 | |
| ESMV | iShares ESG MSCI | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.86 | (0.07) | 0.83 | (0.86) | 7.02 | |
| MNRS | Grayscale Funds Trust | (0.58) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.29 | (6.90) | 23.19 | |
| MCDS | JPMorgan Fundamental Data | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0 | 1.44 | (1.28) | 3.68 | |
| MAPP | Harbor ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | 0.05 | 0.81 | (0.82) | 2.32 | |
| ESIX | SPDR SP SmallCap | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.84 | 0.02 | 1.93 | (1.60) | 5.10 | |
| SCDS | JPMorgan Fundamental Data | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.94 | 0.05 | 1.77 | (1.79) | 4.82 | |
| DIVG | Invesco Exchange Traded | 0.14 | 1 per month | 0.59 | 0 | 1.45 | (1.19) | 3.19 |
ProShares Ultra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ProShares Ultra Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ProShares Ultra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares Ultra Consumer, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares Ultra based on analysis of ProShares Ultra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares Ultra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares Ultra's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether ProShares Ultra Consumer is a strong investment it is important to analyze ProShares Ultra's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ProShares Ultra's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ProShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:Check out ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Investors evaluate ProShares Ultra Consumer using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ProShares Ultra's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ProShares Ultra's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Ultra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Ultra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, ProShares Ultra's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.