Unum Group Stock Price Prediction
| UNM Stock | USD 76.25 0.76 0.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.392 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.11 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.5834 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.1027 | Wall Street Target Price 82.9167 |
Using Unum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unum Group from the perspective of Unum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Unum using Unum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Unum using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Unum's stock price.
Unum Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Unum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Unum Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Unum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Unum stock will not fluctuate a lot when Unum's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Unum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Unum because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Unum after-hype prediction price | USD 76.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Unum contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Unum Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Unum trading at USD 76.25, that is roughly USD 0.0257 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Unum's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Unum Group options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Unum |
Unum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Unum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Unum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Unum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Unum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Unum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Unum's historical news coverage. Unum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.77 and 77.73, respectively. We have considered Unum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Unum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Unum Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Unum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Unum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Unum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Unum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.48 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
76.25 | 76.25 | 0.00 |
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Unum Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Unum Group is traded for 76.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Unum is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Unum is about 941.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.30. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.28. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Unum Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.21. The firm last dividend was issued on the 24th of January 2025. Unum had 2:1 split on the 3rd of June 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Unum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Unum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Unum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Unum's future price movements. Getting to know how Unum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Unum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRU | Prudential Financial | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.08 | (3.16) | 9.90 | |
| MET | MetLife | 1.87 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 2.34 | (3.03) | 9.98 | |
| JXN | Jackson Financial | (1.57) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.86 | (4.58) | 20.41 | |
| MFC | Manulife Financial Corp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.32 | (0.04) | 1.94 | (2.16) | 7.72 | |
| LNC | Lincoln National | 0.31 | 6 per month | 1.88 | 0.05 | 3.45 | (3.06) | 18.27 | |
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | (1.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.49 | (2.32) | 7.00 | |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.12 | 3.70 | (3.29) | 17.94 | |
| GL | Globe Life | 1.65 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.12 | 1.89 | (1.74) | 9.48 | |
| FG | FG Annuities Life | 0.94 | 9 per month | 2.20 | 0.04 | 3.75 | (3.89) | 23.15 | |
| JXN-PA | Jackson Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | (0.10) | 1.10 | (1.06) | 3.45 | |
| PUK | Prudential PLC ADR | (0.33) | 9 per month | 2.20 | (0.03) | 2.61 | (3.50) | 7.36 |
Unum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Unum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Unum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Unum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Unum Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Unum based on analysis of Unum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Unum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Unum's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0309 | 0.0312 | 0.028 | 0.0164 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.91 |
Story Coverage note for Unum
The number of cover stories for Unum depends on current market conditions and Unum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Unum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Unum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Unum Short Properties
Unum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Unum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Unum Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Unum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 197.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.6 B |
Check out Unum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unum. If investors know Unum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.392 | Dividend Share 1.57 | Earnings Share 9.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
The market value of Unum Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Unum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.