Urbana Stock Price Prediction
| URB Stock | CAD 5.63 0.01 0.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.817 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.842 |
Using Urbana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Urbana from the perspective of Urbana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Urbana to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Urbana because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Urbana after-hype prediction price | CAD 5.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Urbana |
Urbana After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Urbana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Urbana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Urbana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Urbana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Urbana's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Urbana's historical news coverage. Urbana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.82 and 7.40, respectively. We have considered Urbana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Urbana is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Urbana is based on 3 months time horizon.
Urbana Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Urbana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Urbana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Urbana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.79 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.63 | 5.61 | 0.36 |
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Urbana Hype Timeline
Urbana is at this time traded for 5.63on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Urbana is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Urbana is about 478.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.70. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Urbana last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Urbana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Urbana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Urbana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Urbana's future price movements. Getting to know how Urbana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Urbana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| URB-A | Urbana | 0.20 | 1 per month | 0.99 | 0.04 | 2.68 | (1.83) | 6.05 | |
| UNC | Uniteds Limited | 1.75 | 2 per month | 0.66 | (0.06) | 1.32 | (1.18) | 3.88 | |
| ACD | Accord Financial Corp | (0.12) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.44 | (2.68) | 8.32 | |
| CVG | Clairvest Group | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.37 | (1.26) | 3.82 | |
| CKI | Clarke Inc | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 0.42 | (0.62) | 3.01 |
Urbana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Urbana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Urbana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Urbana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Urbana Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Urbana stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Urbana, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Urbana based on analysis of Urbana hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Urbana's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Urbana's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.48 | 0.46 | Dividend Yield | 0.0251 | 0.022 |
Story Coverage note for Urbana
The number of cover stories for Urbana depends on current market conditions and Urbana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Urbana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Urbana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Urbana Short Properties
Urbana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Urbana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Urbana often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Urbana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urbana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 341.4 K |
Other Information on Investing in Urbana Stock
Urbana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Urbana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Urbana with respect to the benefits of owning Urbana security.