SASOL FING USA Price Prediction
| 80386WAB1 | 99.68 2.27 2.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SASOL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SASOL FING USA from the perspective of SASOL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SASOL to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SASOL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SASOL after-hype prediction price | $ 99.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SASOL |
SASOL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SASOL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SASOL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of SASOL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SASOL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SASOL's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SASOL's historical news coverage. SASOL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.54 and 100.82, respectively. We have considered SASOL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SASOL is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SASOL FING USA is based on 3 months time horizon.
SASOL Bond Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as SASOL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SASOL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SASOL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 18 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
99.68 | 99.68 | 0.00 |
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SASOL Hype Timeline
SASOL FING USA is at this time traded for 99.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. SASOL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on SASOL is about 131.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.74. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 18 days. Check out SASOL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade SASOL Bond refer to our How to Trade SASOL Bond guide.SASOL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SASOL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SASOL's future price movements. Getting to know how SASOL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SASOL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COTY | Coty Inc | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.87 | (2.91) | 15.90 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.76 | (6.21) | 26.98 | |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings | 1.08 | 9 per month | 2.36 | 0.06 | 4.63 | (3.83) | 29.57 | |
| CNLFF | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.68) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | |
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | (0.22) | 8 per month | 2.26 | 0.04 | 4.59 | (2.64) | 13.19 | |
| SAIA | Saia Inc | 8.65 | 11 per month | 2.13 | 0.13 | 5.11 | (4.04) | 17.45 | |
| HOFT | Hooker Furniture | (0.47) | 8 per month | 2.49 | 0.08 | 5.56 | (3.65) | 11.22 | |
| KODK | Eastman Kodak Co | (0.86) | 9 per month | 3.26 | 0.06 | 7.91 | (3.69) | 26.51 |
SASOL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SASOL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SASOL using various technical indicators. When you analyze SASOL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SASOL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SASOL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SASOL FING USA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SASOL based on analysis of SASOL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SASOL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SASOL's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SASOL
The number of cover stories for SASOL depends on current market conditions and SASOL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SASOL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SASOL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in SASOL Bond
SASOL financial ratios help investors to determine whether SASOL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SASOL with respect to the benefits of owning SASOL security.