Invesco California Value Stock Price Prediction
| VCV Stock | USD 10.39 0.05 0.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.938 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Invesco California hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco California Value from the perspective of Invesco California response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invesco California to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invesco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Invesco California after-hype prediction price | USD 10.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Invesco |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco California's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco California After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Invesco California at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco California or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invesco California, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Invesco California Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Invesco California's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco California's historical news coverage. Invesco California's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.65 and 11.03, respectively. We have considered Invesco California's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Invesco California is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco California Value is based on 3 months time horizon.
Invesco California Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invesco California is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco California backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco California, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.39 | 10.34 | 0.00 |
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Invesco California Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Invesco California Value is traded for 10.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco California is about 2058.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.39. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Invesco California Value last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The entity had 1:8 split on the September 30, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Invesco California Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Invesco California Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco California's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco California's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco California's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco California may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PZC | Pimco California Municipal | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.69 | (1.11) | 3.28 | |
| VPV | Invesco Pennsylvania Value | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.31 | (0.20) | 0.64 | (0.54) | 1.91 | |
| NAC | Nuveen California Dividend | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.77 | (0.78) | 2.45 | |
| VKI | Invesco Advantage MIT | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.42 | (0.23) | 0.79 | (0.66) | 2.47 | |
| MUC | Blackrock Muniholdings Ca | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.72 | (0.73) | 2.04 |
Invesco California Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Invesco California Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Invesco California stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invesco California Value, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco California based on analysis of Invesco California hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invesco California's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invesco California's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.88 | 0.86 | 1.02 | Dividend Yield | 0.0487 | 0.0397 | 0.0558 |
Story Coverage note for Invesco California
The number of cover stories for Invesco California depends on current market conditions and Invesco California's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco California is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco California's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Invesco California Short Properties
Invesco California's future price predictability will typically decrease when Invesco California's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Invesco California Value often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Invesco California's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco California's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 M |
Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis
When running Invesco California's price analysis, check to measure Invesco California's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco California is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco California's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco California's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco California's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco California to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.