Vanguard Consumer Staples Etf Price Patterns
| VDC Etf | USD 226.08 2.22 0.99% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vanguard Consumer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Consumer Staples from the perspective of Vanguard Consumer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard Consumer using Vanguard Consumer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard Consumer's stock price.
Vanguard Consumer Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
Vanguard Consumer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard Consumer Staples stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard Consumer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard Consumer stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard Consumer's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanguard Consumer to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanguard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vanguard Consumer after-hype prediction price | USD 223.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vanguard contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vanguard Consumer Staples will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vanguard Consumer trading at USD 226.08, that is roughly USD 0.0396 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vanguard Consumer's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vanguard Consumer Staples options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Consumer After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vanguard Consumer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard Consumer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard Consumer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vanguard Consumer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vanguard Consumer's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard Consumer's historical news coverage. Vanguard Consumer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 223.06 and 224.44, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Consumer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vanguard Consumer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Consumer Staples is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vanguard Consumer Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard Consumer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard Consumer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard Consumer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.69 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
226.08 | 223.75 | 0.05 |
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Vanguard Consumer Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Vanguard Consumer Staples is traded for 226.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Vanguard is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 223.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 87.34%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Consumer is about 50.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 225.89. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Vanguard Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vanguard Consumer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard Consumer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard Consumer's future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard Consumer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard Consumer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VCR | Vanguard Consumer Discretionary | (7.98) | 4 per month | 1.19 | (0.02) | 1.89 | (2.33) | 5.26 | |
| VCDAX | Vanguard Sumer Discretionary | (1.47) | 16 per month | 1.16 | (0.02) | 1.91 | (2.33) | 5.23 | |
| VENAX | Vanguard Energy Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.14 | 2.19 | (1.46) | 5.09 | |
| VIS | Vanguard Industrials Index | (1.47) | 3 per month | 0.90 | 0.05 | 1.53 | (1.77) | 4.10 | |
| VDE | Vanguard Energy Index | (0.49) | 6 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 2.21 | (1.42) | 5.10 | |
| VPU | Vanguard Utilities Index | (2.49) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.23 | (1.34) | 3.64 | |
| VUIAX | Vanguard Utilities Index | 1.52 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.24 | (1.36) | 4.41 | |
| VINAX | Vanguard Industrials Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | 0.06 | 1.51 | (1.76) | 4.11 | |
| IGF | iShares Global Infrastructure | 0.19 | 4 per month | 0.31 | 0.06 | 0.95 | (0.77) | 1.84 | |
| VOX | Vanguard Communication Services | (1.36) | 3 per month | 0.75 | 0.05 | 1.90 | (1.35) | 4.23 |
Vanguard Consumer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vanguard Consumer Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vanguard Consumer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanguard Consumer Staples, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Consumer based on analysis of Vanguard Consumer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanguard Consumer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanguard Consumer's related companies.
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Check out Vanguard Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Understanding Vanguard Consumer Staples requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Vanguard's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Vanguard Consumer's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Vanguard Consumer's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Consumer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Consumer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Vanguard Consumer's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.