Vanguard Financials Index Etf Price Patterns

VFH Etf  USD 131.31  1.31  1.01%   
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Vanguard Financials' share price is approaching 45. This entails that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vanguard Financials, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vanguard Financials' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vanguard Financials Index, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vanguard Financials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Financials Index from the perspective of Vanguard Financials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard Financials using Vanguard Financials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard Financials' stock price.

Vanguard Financials Implied Volatility

    
  0.19  
Vanguard Financials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard Financials Index stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard Financials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard Financials stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard Financials' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanguard Financials to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanguard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vanguard Financials after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 131.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vanguard contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vanguard Financials Index will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0119% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vanguard Financials trading at USD 131.31, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vanguard Financials' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vanguard Financials Index options at the current volatility level of 0.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Vanguard Financials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130.25131.15132.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.29131.19132.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
128.88133.55138.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Financials. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Financials' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Financials' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Financials Index.

Vanguard Financials After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vanguard Financials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard Financials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard Financials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vanguard Financials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vanguard Financials' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard Financials' historical news coverage. Vanguard Financials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 130.41 and 132.21, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Financials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
131.31
130.41
Downside
131.31
After-hype Price
132.21
Upside
Vanguard Financials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Financials Index is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vanguard Financials Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard Financials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard Financials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard Financials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.90
  0.01 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
131.31
131.31
0.00 
500.00  
Notes

Vanguard Financials Hype Timeline

On the 30th of January Vanguard Financials Index is traded for 131.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Vanguard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Financials is about 291.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 131.33. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Vanguard Financials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vanguard Financials Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard Financials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard Financials' future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard Financials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard Financials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTWOVanguard Russell 2000(0.70)8 per month 1.02  0.03  1.82 (1.82) 4.63 
VONVVanguard Russell 1000 0.33 5 per month 0.48  0.07  1.34 (1.05) 3.01 
VHTVanguard Health Care 5.19 7 per month 0.57  0.03  1.94 (1.10) 3.84 
VHCIXVanguard Health Care 0.17 1 per month 0.61  0.03  1.96 (1.13) 4.43 
SPMDSPDR Russell Small(0.49)8 per month 0.75  0.03  1.80 (1.37) 3.78 
VUIAXVanguard Utilities Index 1.52 17 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.24 (1.36) 4.41 
BBJPJPMorgan BetaBuilders Japan 0.05 3 per month 0.78  0.07  1.60 (1.50) 4.39 
VDEVanguard Energy Index(0.49)6 per month 0.96  0.14  2.21 (1.42) 5.10 
VPUVanguard Utilities Index(2.49)5 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.23 (1.34) 3.64 
VENAXVanguard Energy Index 0.00 0 per month 0.92  0.14  2.19 (1.46) 5.09 

Vanguard Financials Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vanguard Financials Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vanguard Financials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanguard Financials Index, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Financials based on analysis of Vanguard Financials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanguard Financials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanguard Financials's related companies.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Vanguard Financials Index offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vanguard Financials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vanguard Financials Index Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vanguard Financials Index Etf:
Check out Vanguard Financials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Investors evaluate Vanguard Financials Index using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Vanguard Financials' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Vanguard Financials' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Financials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Financials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Vanguard Financials' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.