Private Capital Management Fund Price Patterns
| VFPIX Fund | USD 18.36 0.07 0.38% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Private Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Private Capital Management from the perspective of Private Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Private Capital to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Private because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Private Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 18.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Private |
Private Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Private Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Private Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Private Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Private Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Private Capital's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Private Capital's historical news coverage. Private Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.13 and 19.59, respectively. We have considered Private Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Private Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Private Capital Mana is based on 3 months time horizon.
Private Capital Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Private Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Private Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Private Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.36 | 18.36 | 0.00 |
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Private Capital Hype Timeline
Private Capital Mana is at this time traded for 18.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.24. Private is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Private Capital is about 45.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.60. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Private Capital Mana last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Private Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Private Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Private Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Private Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Private Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Private Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLOIX | Gamco Global Opportunity | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.77 | 0.11 | 1.69 | (1.45) | 3.33 | |
| GAFAX | Asg Global Alternatives | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | 0.09 | 0.79 | (0.61) | 2.02 | |
| CFWCX | Calvert Global Water | 0.45 | 1 per month | 0.62 | 0.06 | 1.76 | (1.07) | 6.51 | |
| SGMAX | Siit Global Managed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.81 | (0.71) | 14.48 | |
| OSIIX | Oppenheimer Global Strtgc | 11.92 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.62 | (0.31) | 1.55 | |
| TEDIX | Franklin Mutual Global | 0.10 | 1 per month | 0.59 | 0.06 | 1.20 | (1.10) | 3.62 | |
| HRLAX | The Hartford Global | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.74 | (0.53) | 1.47 | |
| ZGFIX | Investec Global Franchise | 8.86 | 3 per month | 0.52 | 0.08 | 1.24 | (0.88) | 10.50 |
Private Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Private price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Private using various technical indicators. When you analyze Private charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Private Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Private Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Private Capital Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Private Capital based on analysis of Private Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Private Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Private Capital's related companies.
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Private Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Private Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Private with respect to the benefits of owning Private Capital security.
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