Vanguard Ftse Europe Etf Price Patterns
| VGK Etf | USD 87.50 0.82 0.93% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vanguard FTSE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard FTSE Europe from the perspective of Vanguard FTSE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard FTSE using Vanguard FTSE's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard FTSE's stock price.
Vanguard FTSE Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Vanguard FTSE's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard FTSE Europe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard FTSE's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard FTSE stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard FTSE's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanguard FTSE to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanguard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vanguard FTSE after-hype prediction price | USD 87.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vanguard contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vanguard FTSE Europe will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vanguard FTSE trading at USD 87.5, that is roughly USD 0.0197 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vanguard FTSE's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vanguard FTSE Europe options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Vanguard FTSE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vanguard FTSE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard FTSE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard FTSE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vanguard FTSE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vanguard FTSE's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard FTSE's historical news coverage. Vanguard FTSE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.75 and 88.25, respectively. We have considered Vanguard FTSE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vanguard FTSE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard FTSE Europe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vanguard FTSE Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard FTSE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard FTSE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard FTSE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 0.74 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
87.50 | 87.50 | 0.00 |
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Vanguard FTSE Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Vanguard FTSE Europe is traded for 87.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Vanguard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 90.24%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard FTSE is about 110.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.62. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vanguard FTSE Europe recorded a loss per share of 4.23. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Vanguard FTSE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vanguard FTSE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard FTSE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard FTSE's future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard FTSE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard FTSE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VEUSX | Vanguard European Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | 0.1 | 1.60 | (1.31) | 3.33 | |
| DGRO | iShares Core Dividend | 0.70 | 8 per month | 0.45 | 0.04 | 1.05 | (0.88) | 2.73 | |
| VGHAX | Vanguard Health Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | 0.10 | 1.94 | (1.13) | 4.14 | |
| VOE | Vanguard Mid Cap Value | (0.59) | 6 per month | 0.60 | 0.06 | 1.28 | (1.19) | 3.27 | |
| SPDW | SPDR SP World | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.61 | 0.11 | 1.22 | (1.27) | 2.68 | |
| XLV | Health Care Select | 1.15 | 11 per month | 0.60 | 0.06 | 1.97 | (1.19) | 3.98 | |
| VMGIX | Vanguard Mid Cap Growth | 0.12 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.26 | (1.75) | 3.76 | |
| VOT | Vanguard Mid Cap Growth | 2.90 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.22 | (1.75) | 3.93 | |
| DFAC | Dimensional Core Equity | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.69 | 0.01 | 1.30 | (1.32) | 3.37 | |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones | 2.16 | 7 per month | 0.66 | 0.01 | 1.22 | (1.08) | 3.18 |
Vanguard FTSE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vanguard FTSE Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vanguard FTSE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanguard FTSE Europe, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard FTSE based on analysis of Vanguard FTSE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanguard FTSE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanguard FTSE's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Vanguard FTSE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Investors evaluate Vanguard FTSE Europe using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Vanguard FTSE's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Vanguard FTSE's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Vanguard FTSE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.