Vipshop Holdings Limited Stock Price Prediction
| VIPS Stock | USD 17.46 0.04 0.23% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.227 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.8723 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.9585 | EPS Estimate Next Year 18.2692 | Wall Street Target Price 20.2338 |
Using Vipshop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings Limited from the perspective of Vipshop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vipshop Holdings using Vipshop Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vipshop using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vipshop Holdings' stock price.
Vipshop Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Vipshop Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vipshop Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vipshop Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.8254 | Short Percent 0.0213 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 18.987 |
Vipshop Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vipshop Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vipshop. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vipshop can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vipshop Holdings Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vipshop Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vipshop Holdings.
Vipshop Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Vipshop Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vipshop Holdings Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vipshop Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vipshop Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vipshop Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vipshop Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vipshop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vipshop Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 17.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vipshop contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vipshop Holdings Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vipshop Holdings trading at USD 17.46, that is roughly USD 0.006002 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vipshop Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vipshop Holdings Limited options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Vipshop Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vipshop Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vipshop Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vipshop Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vipshop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vipshop Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vipshop Holdings' historical news coverage. Vipshop Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.11 and 19.81, respectively. We have considered Vipshop Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vipshop Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vipshop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vipshop Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vipshop Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vipshop Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vipshop Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.37 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.46 | 17.46 | 0.00 |
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Vipshop Holdings Hype Timeline
Vipshop Holdings is at this time traded for 17.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Vipshop is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 183.72%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vipshop Holdings is about 740.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.49. About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vipshop Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2025. The firm had 10:1 split on the 4th of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vipshop Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vipshop Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Vipshop Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vipshop Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GAP | The Gap | 0.81 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.10 | 6.37 | (2.84) | 12.19 | |
| CART | Maplebear | 0.02 | 12 per month | 2.24 | (0.01) | 3.91 | (3.67) | 11.01 | |
| GME | GameStop Corp | 0.30 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.05 | (3.00) | 9.35 | |
| MUSA | Murphy USA | (0.70) | 12 per month | 1.76 | 0.09 | 3.04 | (2.45) | 11.17 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | 1.97 | 9 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 2.85 | (2.47) | 6.91 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | 0.84 | 18 per month | 1.62 | 0 | 4.18 | (2.97) | 9.56 | |
| GIL | Gildan Activewear | (0.69) | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.06 | 3.72 | (2.65) | 8.74 | |
| MNSO | Miniso Group Holding | 1.62 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.27 | (2.80) | 9.84 | |
| DDS | Dillards | (0.43) | 30 per month | 2.73 | 0.04 | 5.05 | (4.39) | 17.26 | |
| FIVE | Five Below | (0.54) | 6 per month | 1.50 | 0.13 | 3.69 | (2.78) | 7.41 |
Vipshop Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vipshop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vipshop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vipshop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vipshop Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vipshop Holdings Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vipshop Holdings based on analysis of Vipshop Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vipshop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vipshop Holdings's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0291 | 0.0258 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.55 | 0.53 |
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Additional Tools for Vipshop Stock Analysis
When running Vipshop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Vipshop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vipshop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vipshop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vipshop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vipshop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.