Volkswagen Ag Stock Price Prediction

VLKAF Stock  USD 88.00  0.20  0.23%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Volkswagen's share price is approaching 31. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Volkswagen, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

31

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Volkswagen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Volkswagen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Volkswagen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Volkswagen AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Volkswagen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Volkswagen AG from the perspective of Volkswagen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Volkswagen to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Volkswagen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Volkswagen after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 87.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Volkswagen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.4679.4896.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.6684.6986.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.6095.86107.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Volkswagen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Volkswagen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Volkswagen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Volkswagen AG.

Volkswagen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Volkswagen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Volkswagen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Volkswagen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Volkswagen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Volkswagen's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Volkswagen's historical news coverage. Volkswagen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.38 and 89.42, respectively. We have considered Volkswagen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.00
87.40
After-hype Price
89.42
Upside
Volkswagen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Volkswagen AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Volkswagen Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Volkswagen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Volkswagen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Volkswagen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
2.02
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.00
87.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Volkswagen Hype Timeline

Volkswagen AG is at this time traded for 88.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Volkswagen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Volkswagen is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.00. About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Volkswagen AG recorded earning per share (EPS) of 33.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Volkswagen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Volkswagen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Volkswagen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Volkswagen's future price movements. Getting to know how Volkswagen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Volkswagen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Volkswagen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Volkswagen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Volkswagen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Volkswagen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Volkswagen Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Volkswagen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Volkswagen AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Volkswagen based on analysis of Volkswagen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Volkswagen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Volkswagen's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Volkswagen

The number of cover stories for Volkswagen depends on current market conditions and Volkswagen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Volkswagen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Volkswagen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Volkswagen Short Properties

Volkswagen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Volkswagen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Volkswagen AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Volkswagen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volkswagen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding501.3 M

Complementary Tools for Volkswagen Pink Sheet analysis

When running Volkswagen's price analysis, check to measure Volkswagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volkswagen is operating at the current time. Most of Volkswagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volkswagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volkswagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volkswagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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