Washington Trust Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| WASH Stock | USD 37.41 0.81 2.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.39 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5967 | Wall Street Target Price 33.5 |
Using Washington Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Washington Trust Bancorp from the perspective of Washington Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Washington Trust to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Washington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Washington Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 36.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Washington |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Washington Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Washington Trust After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Washington Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Washington Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Washington Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Washington Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Washington Trust's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Washington Trust's historical news coverage. Washington Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.33 and 39.05, respectively. We have considered Washington Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Washington Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Washington Trust Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Washington Trust Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Washington Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Washington Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Washington Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.87 | 0.45 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 19 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.41 | 36.19 | 1.12 |
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Washington Trust Hype Timeline
Washington Trust Bancorp is at this time traded for 37.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Washington is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 190.07%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Washington Trust is about 1496.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.35. About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Washington Trust Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 1st of October 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 4th of August 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Washington Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Washington Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Washington Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Washington Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Washington Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Washington Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Washington Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Washington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Washington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Washington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Washington Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Washington Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Washington Trust Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Washington Trust based on analysis of Washington Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Washington Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Washington Trust's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0373 | 0.0463 | 0.07 | 0.0404 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.26 | 3.72 | 2.9 | 2.78 |
Story Coverage note for Washington Trust
The number of cover stories for Washington Trust depends on current market conditions and Washington Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Washington Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Washington Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Washington Trust Short Properties
Washington Trust's future price predictability will typically decrease when Washington Trust's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Washington Trust Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Washington Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Washington Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Washington Stock analysis
When running Washington Trust's price analysis, check to measure Washington Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Washington Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Washington Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Washington Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Washington Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Washington Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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