Xenon Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction
| XENE Stock | USD 38.52 1.10 2.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.85) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.54) | Wall Street Target Price 58 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.81) |
Using Xenon Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xenon Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of Xenon Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xenon Pharmaceuticals using Xenon Pharmaceuticals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xenon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xenon Pharmaceuticals' stock price.
Xenon Pharmaceuticals Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Xenon Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xenon Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xenon Pharmaceuticals' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xenon Pharmaceuticals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xenon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xenon Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price | USD 38.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Xenon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Xenon Pharmaceuticals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Xenon Pharmaceuticals trading at USD 38.52, that is roughly USD 0.0166 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Xenon Pharmaceuticals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Xenon Pharmaceuticals options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Xenon |
Xenon Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xenon Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xenon Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xenon Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Xenon Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xenon Pharmaceuticals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xenon Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. Xenon Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.46 and 41.10, respectively. We have considered Xenon Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xenon Pharmaceuticals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xenon Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xenon Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xenon Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xenon Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xenon Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.32 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.52 | 38.78 | 0.67 |
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Xenon Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline
Xenon Pharmaceuticals is at this time traded for 38.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Xenon is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Xenon Pharmaceuticals is about 551.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.44. Net Loss for the year was (182.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (177.91 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Xenon Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xenon Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xenon Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xenon Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how Xenon Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xenon Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Xenon Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xenon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xenon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xenon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Xenon Pharmaceuticals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xenon Pharmaceuticals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xenon Pharmaceuticals based on analysis of Xenon Pharmaceuticals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xenon Pharmaceuticals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xenon Pharmaceuticals's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 38.15 | 34.33 | 64.67 | PTB Ratio | 3.31 | 3.82 | 3.18 |
Story Coverage note for Xenon Pharmaceuticals
The number of cover stories for Xenon Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Xenon Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xenon Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xenon Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xenon Pharmaceuticals Short Properties
Xenon Pharmaceuticals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Xenon Pharmaceuticals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xenon Pharmaceuticals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xenon Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xenon Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 638.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Xenon Stock analysis
When running Xenon Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Xenon Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xenon Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Xenon Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xenon Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xenon Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xenon Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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