Zai Lab Stock Price Prediction

ZLAB Stock  USD 27.19  0.65  2.33%   
At the present time, the RSI of Zai Lab's share price is approaching 48. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zai Lab, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zai Lab's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zai Lab, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Zai Lab hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zai Lab from the perspective of Zai Lab response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Zai Lab to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Zai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Zai Lab after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Zai Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Zai Stock refer to our How to Trade Zai Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4732.4435.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.7727.9431.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.4326.2228.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zai Lab. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zai Lab's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zai Lab's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zai Lab.

Zai Lab After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zai Lab at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zai Lab or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zai Lab, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zai Lab Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zai Lab's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zai Lab's historical news coverage. Zai Lab's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.78 and 30.12, respectively. We have considered Zai Lab's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.19
26.95
After-hype Price
30.12
Upside
Zai Lab is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zai Lab is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zai Lab Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zai Lab is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zai Lab backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zai Lab, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
3.17
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.19
26.95
0.88 
0.00  
Notes

Zai Lab Hype Timeline

Zai Lab is at this time traded for 27.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Zai is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Zai Lab is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.19. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Zai Lab was at this time reported as 6.8. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.8. Zai Lab had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Zai Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Zai Stock refer to our How to Trade Zai Stock guide.

Zai Lab Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zai Lab's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zai Lab's future price movements. Getting to know how Zai Lab's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zai Lab may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CCCCC4 Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 8.02 (7.99) 22.96 
ERASErasca Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 5.04 (7.35) 26.76 
CGEMCullinan Oncology LLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.13 (7.10) 17.21 
LEGNLegend Biotech Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.06 (5.44) 13.49 
SGENSeagen Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 2.44 (0.01) 4.37 (3.51) 15.40 
ASNDAscendis Pharma AS 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0  3.56 (3.28) 9.84 
ROIVRoivant Sciences 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.87 (3.54) 10.35 
KRYSKrystal Biotech 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.05 (5.10) 14.97 
RXDXPrometheus Biosciences 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AKROAkero Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 2.70  0.10  5.23 (5.05) 99.83 
APLSApellis Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 3.91  0.01  4.63 (4.71) 27.73 
PTCTPTC Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 2.36  0.05  5.65 (3.75) 23.75 
BPMCBlueprint Medicines Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.14  0.09  5.39 (3.53) 19.55 
ICPTIntercept Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 3.63  0.0001  5.28 (5.25) 15.92 

Zai Lab Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Zai Lab Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Zai Lab stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Zai Lab, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Zai Lab based on analysis of Zai Lab hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Zai Lab's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Zai Lab's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Zai Lab

The number of cover stories for Zai Lab depends on current market conditions and Zai Lab's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zai Lab is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zai Lab's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Zai Lab Short Properties

Zai Lab's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zai Lab's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zai Lab often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zai Lab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zai Lab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding966.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments806.5 M

Complementary Tools for Zai Stock analysis

When running Zai Lab's price analysis, check to measure Zai Lab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zai Lab is operating at the current time. Most of Zai Lab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zai Lab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zai Lab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zai Lab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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